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CN114565215A - High-end equipment evaluation method and system based on product life cycle - Google Patents

High-end equipment evaluation method and system based on product life cycle Download PDF

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CN114565215A
CN114565215A CN202210049952.7A CN202210049952A CN114565215A CN 114565215 A CN114565215 A CN 114565215A CN 202210049952 A CN202210049952 A CN 202210049952A CN 114565215 A CN114565215 A CN 114565215A
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周谧
乔永康
周雅婧
刘心报
钱晓飞
周志平
陆少军
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Hefei University of Technology
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Abstract

本发明提供一种基于产品全生命周期的高端装备评估方法及系统,涉及高端装备评估技术领域。本发明的系统包括评估数据获取模块、多维定量数据获取模块、定量指标预测区间获取模块、规则转换模块、融合模块和排序模块。其中,规则转换模块用于根据转换规则将所述定量指标的多个测量值转换成相邻方案间的统一识别框架下的置信分布的评估形式,得到相邻评估方案之间的各个定量指标评估信息,本发明通过规则转换模块将定量指标转换成两两对比的模式,在保证结果稳定性的同时大大提高了评估效率,完善了多属性评估体系,也使得基于全生命周期的高端装备多属性评估问题更符合实际。

Figure 202210049952

The invention provides a high-end equipment evaluation method and system based on the full life cycle of a product, and relates to the technical field of high-end equipment evaluation. The system of the invention includes an evaluation data acquisition module, a multi-dimensional quantitative data acquisition module, a quantitative index prediction interval acquisition module, a rule conversion module, a fusion module and a sorting module. Wherein, the rule conversion module is used to convert the multiple measurement values of the quantitative indicators into the evaluation form of the confidence distribution under the unified identification framework between adjacent schemes according to the conversion rules, so as to obtain the evaluation of each quantitative indicator between the adjacent evaluation schemes The invention converts the quantitative indicators into a pairwise comparison mode through the rule conversion module, which greatly improves the evaluation efficiency while ensuring the stability of the results, improves the multi-attribute evaluation system, and makes the high-end equipment multi-attribute based on the full life cycle. Evaluation questions are more realistic.

Figure 202210049952

Description

基于产品全生命周期的高端装备评估方法及系统High-end equipment evaluation method and system based on product life cycle

技术领域technical field

本发明涉及高端装备评估技术领域,具体涉及一种基于产品全生命周期的高端装备评估方法及系统。The invention relates to the technical field of high-end equipment evaluation, in particular to a high-end equipment evaluation method and system based on the full life cycle of a product.

背景技术Background technique

高端装备制造业有着技术含量高、处在价值链高端和占据产业链核心环节等特点,涉及多学科多领域交叉,具有较高的附加值,其水平高低直接决定了整条产业链的竞争力。产品全生命周期是一种以产品为中心,以生命周期为导向的战略性思想方法,将产品从原材料获取到报废的整个全生命周期中的各个产品利益相关者联系起来。产品的全生命周期一般包含设计、原材料获取、制造、物流、使用、售后、报废等阶段。基于产品全生命周期的高端装备评估方法研究,能够实现产品全生命周期各环节、业务、要素之间的协同管理,减少成本,提高制造能力、管理能力、绿色环保能力,实现企业最优决策。因此研究基于产品全生命周期的高端装备评估问题具有重要的理论和现实意义。High-end equipment manufacturing industry has the characteristics of high technology content, high-end value chain and core link in the industry chain, involving multi-disciplinary and multi-field intersection, with high added value, and its level directly determines the competitiveness of the entire industry chain . Product life cycle is a product-centered, life-cycle-oriented strategic thinking method that connects various product stakeholders in the entire life cycle of a product from raw material acquisition to scrapping. The whole life cycle of a product generally includes stages such as design, raw material acquisition, manufacturing, logistics, use, after-sales, and scrapping. The research on high-end equipment evaluation methods based on the product life cycle can realize the collaborative management of all links, businesses and elements of the product life cycle, reduce costs, improve manufacturing capabilities, management capabilities, and green environmental protection capabilities, and realize the optimal decision-making of enterprises. Therefore, it has important theoretical and practical significance to study the evaluation of high-end equipment based on the product life cycle.

现有的基于产品全生命周期的高端装备评估一般是通过使用多属性评估方法对所有方案进行单独评估,该评估方法的效率较低。The existing high-end equipment evaluation based on the whole product life cycle generally evaluates all schemes individually by using a multi-attribute evaluation method, which is inefficient.

发明内容SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION

(一)解决的技术问题(1) Technical problems solved

针对现有技术的不足,本发明提供了一种基于产品全生命周期的高端装备评估方法及系统,通过对比评估的方法解决现有的评估方法效率较低的技术问题。Aiming at the deficiencies of the prior art, the present invention provides a high-end equipment evaluation method and system based on the full life cycle of the product, and solves the technical problem of low efficiency of the existing evaluation method through the comparative evaluation method.

(二)技术方案(2) Technical solutions

为实现以上目的,本发明通过以下技术方案予以实现:To achieve the above purpose, the present invention is achieved through the following technical solutions:

第一方面,本发明提供一种基于产品全生命周期的高端装备评估系统,包括:In a first aspect, the present invention provides a high-end equipment evaluation system based on the full life cycle of a product, including:

评估数据获取模块,用于获取高端装备的多个待评估方案、评估等级和基于高端装备全生命周期的多维评估指标体系;The evaluation data acquisition module is used to acquire multiple plans to be evaluated for high-end equipment, evaluation levels, and a multi-dimensional evaluation index system based on the full life cycle of high-end equipment;

多维定量数据获取模块,用于获取基于多维评估指标体系的全生命周期中不同阶段的各个定量指标的测量数据;The multi-dimensional quantitative data acquisition module is used to acquire the measurement data of each quantitative index at different stages in the whole life cycle based on the multi-dimensional evaluation index system;

定量指标预测区间获取模块,用于基于多维度评估指标体系获取的多个待评估方案中的定量指标的历史测量值,获取各个定量指标的预测区间;The quantitative index prediction interval obtaining module is used to obtain the historical measurement values of the quantitative indicators in the multiple to-be-evaluated schemes obtained based on the multi-dimensional evaluation index system, and obtain the prediction interval of each quantitative index;

规则转换模块,用于根据转换规则将所述定量指标的多个测量值转换成相邻方案间的统一识别框架下的置信分布的评估形式,得到相邻评估方案之间的各个定量指标评估信息;The rule conversion module is used to convert the multiple measurement values of the quantitative indicators into the evaluation form of the confidence distribution under the unified identification framework between adjacent schemes according to the conversion rules, and obtain the evaluation information of each quantitative indicator between the adjacent evaluation schemes ;

融合模块,用于融合各个定量指标评估信息,得到相邻评估方案间对比的各定量指标综合评估;The fusion module is used to fuse the evaluation information of each quantitative index to obtain a comprehensive evaluation of each quantitative index compared between adjacent evaluation schemes;

排序模块,用于结合各评估等级的效用,将相邻评估方案间对比的各定量指标综合评估转换为方案间对比的区间效用值;将区间效用值转换为偏好可能度;基于偏好可能度和连环比率计算综合重要程度并对方案进行全序排列。The sorting module is used to combine the utility of each evaluation level to convert the comprehensive evaluation of each quantitative index in the comparison between adjacent evaluation schemes into the interval utility value of the comparison between the schemes; convert the interval utility value into the preference possibility; based on the preference possibility and The chain ratio calculates the comprehensive importance and arranges the plans in full order.

优选的,所述定量指标预测区间获取模块还用于:根据行业规定,获取各个定量指标的预测区间。Preferably, the quantitative index prediction interval obtaining module is further configured to: obtain the prediction interval of each quantitative index according to industry regulations.

优选的,所述评估等级包括:Preferably, the evaluation level includes:

一组离散的语言变量,表示方案间对比的偏好程度,从H1到HN代表偏好程度的增加,H1表示完全不偏好,HN表示完全偏好,H(N+1)/2表示无差别,N为奇数。A set of discrete linguistic variables representing the degree of preference among alternatives, from H 1 to H N representing an increase in the degree of preference, H 1 representing no preference at all, H N representing complete preference, and H (N+1)/2 representing no preference difference, N is an odd number.

优选的,所述定量指标包括:Preferably, the quantitative indicators include:

研发费用、产品规格、产品寿命、核心技术比率、研发人员占比、原材料价格、加工成本、原材料运输距离、原材料运输时间、制造自动化率、工件规格、装配时间、产品合格率、运维精准化率、用户使用满意度、能源消耗、核心部件再利用率和报废回收成本。R&D expenses, product specifications, product life, core technology ratio, proportion of R&D personnel, raw material price, processing cost, raw material transportation distance, raw material transportation time, manufacturing automation rate, workpiece specifications, assembly time, product qualification rate, precision operation and maintenance rate, user satisfaction, energy consumption, core component reuse and scrap recycling costs.

优选的,转换规则包括:Preferably, the conversion rules include:

将定量指标划分为收益型指标、成本型指标、偏离型指标和固定型指标;Quantitative indicators are divided into income indicators, cost indicators, deviation indicators and fixed indicators;

收益型指标的转换规则包括:The conversion rules for revenue indicators include:

a、针对收益型指标

Figure BDA0003474093400000031
即Pren与Hn正向一一对应,Pren∈[-1,1]且均匀分布;a. For profit indicators
Figure BDA0003474093400000031
That is, Pre n and H n have a positive one-to-one correspondence, and Pre n ∈ [-1,1] and are uniformly distributed;

b、获取预测区间[FILl,FIHl],(l=1,2,…,L);b. Obtain the prediction interval [FIL l , FIH l ], (l=1,2,...,L);

c、获取相邻评估方案Ai和Ai+1在定量指标al上精确值

Figure BDA0003474093400000032
Figure BDA0003474093400000033
计算指标偏好度c. Obtain the exact values of the adjacent evaluation schemes A i and A i+1 on the quantitative index a l
Figure BDA0003474093400000032
and
Figure BDA0003474093400000033
Calculate index preference

Figure BDA0003474093400000034
Figure BDA0003474093400000034

d、若Pren≤Pre(l)i,i+1<Pren+1,通过指标偏好度Pre(l)i,i+1将定量指标在相邻评估方案上的对比评估转换为统一识别框架下的置信分布,表示为:d. If Pre n ≤Pre(l) i,i+1 <Pre n+1 , convert the comparative evaluation of quantitative indicators on adjacent evaluation schemes into unified identification through the index preference degree Pre(l) i,i+1 The confidence distribution under the framework, expressed as:

d(al(Ai,i+1))={(Hnn,l(Ai,i+1)),(Hn+1n+1,l(Ai,i+1))}d(a l (A i,i+1 ))={(H nn,l (A i,i+1 )),(H n+1n+1,l (A i,i +1 ))}

(l=1,2,…,L)(l=1,2,...,L)

其中:

Figure BDA0003474093400000041
βn+1,l(Ai,i+1)=1-βn,l(Ai,i+1)。in:
Figure BDA0003474093400000041
β n+1,1 (A i,i+1 )=1−β n,1 (A i,i+1 ).

d(al(Ai,i+1))表示维度ck在定量指标al上通过特定的转换规则得到的相邻评估方案Ai和Ai+1的对比评估,βn,l(Ai,i+1)和βn+1,l(Ai,i+1)分别代表分配到Hn和Hn+1等级的置信度;d(a l (A i,i+1 )) represents the comparative evaluation of the adjacent evaluation schemes A i and A i+1 obtained by the dimension c k on the quantitative index a l through a specific transformation rule, β n,l ( A i,i+1 ) and β n+1,l (A i,i+1 ) represent the confidence levels assigned to H n and H n+1 levels, respectively;

成本型指标的转换规则包括:The conversion rules for cost indicators include:

a、针对成本型指标

Figure BDA0003474093400000042
即Pren与Hn反向一一对应,Pren∈[-1,1]且均匀分布;a. For cost indicators
Figure BDA0003474093400000042
That is, Pre n and H n have a reverse one-to-one correspondence, and Pre n ∈ [-1,1] and are uniformly distributed;

b、获取预测区间[FILl,FIHl],(l=1,2,…,L);b. Obtain the prediction interval [FIL l , FIH l ], (l=1,2,...,L);

c、获取相邻评估方案Ai和Ai+1在定量指标al上精确值

Figure BDA0003474093400000043
Figure BDA0003474093400000044
计算指标偏好度c. Obtain the exact values of the adjacent evaluation schemes A i and A i+1 on the quantitative index a l
Figure BDA0003474093400000043
and
Figure BDA0003474093400000044
Calculate index preference

Figure BDA0003474093400000045
Figure BDA0003474093400000045

d、若Pren≤Pre(l)i,i+1≤Pren+1,通过指标偏好度Pre(l)i,i+1将定量指标在相邻评估方案上的对比评估转换为统一识别框架下的置信分布,表示为:d. If Pre n ≤Pre(l) i,i+1 ≤Pre n+1 , convert the comparative evaluation of quantitative indicators on adjacent evaluation schemes into unified identification through the index preference degree Pre(l) i,i+1 The confidence distribution under the framework, expressed as:

d(al(Ai,i+1))={(HN+1-nN+1-n,l(Ai,i+1)),(HN-nN-n,l(Ai,i+1))}d(a l (A i,i+1 ))={(H N+1-nN+1-n,l (A i,i+1 )),(H NnNn,l ( A i,i+1 ))}

(l=1,2,…,L)(l=1,2,...,L)

其中:in:

Figure BDA0003474093400000051
βN-n,l(Ai,i+1)=1-βN+1-n,l(Ai,i+1)。
Figure BDA0003474093400000051
β Nn,1 (A i,i+1 )=1−β N+1−n,1 (A i,i+1 ).

βN+1-n,l(Ai,i+1)代表分配到和HN+1-n等级的置信度,βN-n,l(Ai,i+1)代表分配到和HN-n等级的置信度;β N+1-n,l (A i,i+1 ) represents the confidence level assigned to the sum H N+1-n level, β Nn,l (A i,i+1 ) represents the confidence level assigned to the sum H Nn level confidence;

偏离型指标的转换规则包括:The conversion rules for deviating indicators include:

a、针对偏离指标

Figure BDA0003474093400000052
即Pren与Hn正向一一对应,Pren∈[-1,1]且均匀分布;a. For deviation indicators
Figure BDA0003474093400000052
That is, Pre n and H n have a positive one-to-one correspondence, and Pre n ∈ [-1,1] and are uniformly distributed;

b、获取预测区间[FILl,FIHl],(l=1,2,…,L);b. Obtain the prediction interval [FIL l , FIH l ], (l=1,2,...,L);

c、获取相邻评估方案Ai和Ai+1在定性指标al上精确值

Figure BDA0003474093400000053
Figure BDA0003474093400000054
计算指标偏好度c. Obtain the exact values of the adjacent evaluation schemes A i and A i+1 on the qualitative index a l
Figure BDA0003474093400000053
and
Figure BDA0003474093400000054
Calculate index preference

Figure BDA0003474093400000055
Figure BDA0003474093400000055

d、若Pren≤Pre(l)i,i+1<Pren+1,通过指标偏好度Pre(l)i,i+1将定量指标在相邻评估方案上的对比评估转换为统一识别框架下的置信分布,表示为:d. If Pre n ≤Pre(l) i,i+1 <Pre n+1 , convert the comparative evaluation of quantitative indicators on adjacent evaluation schemes into unified identification through the index preference degree Pre(l) i,i+1 The confidence distribution under the framework, expressed as:

d(al(Ai,i+1))={(Hnn,l(Ai,i+1)),(Hn+1n+1,l(Ai,i+1))}d(a l (A i,i+1 ))={(H nn,l (A i,i+1 )),(H n+1n+1,l (A i,i +1 ))}

(l=1,2,…,L)(l=1,2,...,L)

其中:in:

Figure BDA0003474093400000056
βn+1,l(Ai,i+1)=1-βn,l(Ai,i+1)。
Figure BDA0003474093400000056
β n+1,1 (A i,i+1 )=1−β n,1 (A i,i+1 ).

βn,l(Ai,i+1)和βn+1,l(Ai,i+1)分别代表分配到Hn和Hn+1等级的置信度;β n,l (A i,i+1 ) and β n+1,1 (A i,i+1 ) represent the confidence levels assigned to H n and H n+1 levels, respectively;

固定型指标的转换规则包括:The conversion rules for fixed indicators include:

a、针对普通收益指标

Figure BDA0003474093400000057
即Pren与Hn反向一一对应,Pren∈[-1,1]且均匀分布;a. For ordinary income indicators
Figure BDA0003474093400000057
That is, Pre n and H n have a reverse one-to-one correspondence, and Pre n ∈ [-1,1] and are uniformly distributed;

b、获取预测区间[FILl,FIHl],(l=1,2,…,L);b. Obtain the prediction interval [FIL l , FIH l ], (l=1,2,...,L);

c、获取相邻评估方案Ai和Ai+1在定量指标al上精确值

Figure BDA0003474093400000061
Figure BDA0003474093400000062
计算指标偏好度:c. Obtain the exact values of the adjacent evaluation schemes A i and A i+1 on the quantitative index a l
Figure BDA0003474093400000061
and
Figure BDA0003474093400000062
Calculate index preference:

Figure BDA0003474093400000063
Figure BDA0003474093400000063

d、若Pren≤Pre(l)i,i+1<Pren+1,通过指标偏好度Pre(l)i,i+1将定量指标在相邻评估方案上的对比评估转换为统一识别框架下的置信分布,表示为:d. If Pre n ≤Pre(l) i,i+1 <Pre n+1 , convert the comparative evaluation of quantitative indicators on adjacent evaluation schemes into unified identification through the index preference degree Pre(l) i,i+1 The confidence distribution under the framework, expressed as:

d(al(Ai,i+1))={(HN+1-nN+1-n,l(Ai,i+1)),(HN-nN-n,l(Ai,i+1))}d(a l (A i,i+1 ))={(H N+1-nN+1-n,l (A i,i+1 )),(H NnNn,l ( A i,i+1 ))}

(l=1,2,…,L)(l=1,2,...,L)

其中:in:

Figure BDA0003474093400000064
βN-n,l(Ai,i+1)=1-βN+1-n,l(Ai,i+1)。
Figure BDA0003474093400000064
β Nn,1 (A i,i+1 )=1−β N+1−n,1 (A i,i+1 ).

βN+1-n,l(Ai,i+1)和βN-n,l(Ai,i+1)分别代表分配到HN+1-n和HN-n等级的置信度。β N+1-n,1 (A i,i+1 ) and β Nn,1 (A i,i+1 ) represent the confidence levels assigned to the H N+1-n and H Nn ranks, respectively.

优选的,所述融合各个定量指标评估信息,得到相邻评估方案间对比的各定量指标综合评估,包括:Preferably, the integration of each quantitative index evaluation information to obtain a comprehensive evaluation of each quantitative index compared between adjacent evaluation schemes, including:

将每对相邻方案对比下不同维度给出的多个定量指标评估信息进行融合,表示为各相邻评估方案间对比的综合评估,即:The evaluation information of multiple quantitative indicators given by different dimensions under each pair of adjacent schemes is fused, and expressed as a comprehensive evaluation of the comparison between adjacent evaluation schemes, namely:

d(Ai,i+1)={(Hnn(Ai,i+1)),n=1,2,…,N;(Ω,βΩ(Ai,i+1))}d(A i,i+1 )={(H nn (A i,i+1 )),n=1,2,...,N; (Ω,β Ω (A i,i+1 ) )}

(l=1,2,…,L)(l=1,2,...,L)

其中:in:

d(Ai,i+1)表示对比相邻评估方案Ai和Ai+1所有定性指标做出的综合评估,βn(Ai,i+1)和βΩ(Ai,i+1)分别代表分配到Hn等级和全局无知的置信度。d(A i,i+1 ) represents the comprehensive evaluation made by comparing all qualitative indicators of adjacent evaluation schemes A i and A i+1 , β n (A i,i+1 ) and β Ω (A i,i+ 1 ) represent the confidence assigned to the Hn level and global ignorance, respectively.

优选的,所述结合各评估等级的效用,将相邻评估方案间对比的各定量指标综合评估转换为方案间对比的区间效用值,包括Preferably, in combination with the utility of each evaluation level, the comprehensive evaluation of each quantitative index compared between adjacent evaluation schemes is converted into an interval utility value compared between the schemes, including

Figure BDA0003474093400000071
Figure BDA0003474093400000071

Figure BDA0003474093400000072
Figure BDA0003474093400000072

其中,S(Ai,i+1)-和S(Ai,i+1)+表示对比相邻评估方案Ai和Ai+1综合评估区间效用值的下限和上限,且S(Ai,i+1)-=-S(Ai+1,i)+,S(Ai,i+1)+=-S(Ai+1,i)-Among them, S(A i,i+1 ) - and S(A i,i+1 ) + represent the lower and upper limits of the utility value of the comprehensive evaluation interval comparing adjacent evaluation schemes A i and A i+1 , and S(A i,i+1 ) - = -S(A i+1,i ) + , S(A i,i+1 ) + = -S(A i+1,i ) - .

优选的,所述将区间效用值转换为偏好可能度,包括:Preferably, the converting the interval utility value into the preference possibility includes:

Figure BDA0003474093400000073
Figure BDA0003474093400000073

其中,pi,i+1表示对比相邻方案Ai和Ai+1时的偏好程度,且pi,i+1∈[0,1];pi,i+1=0.5表示无偏好,pi,i+1<0.5表示更加偏好Ai+1,pi,i+1>0.5表示更加偏好Ai

Figure BDA0003474093400000074
表示区间[S(Ai,i+1)-,S(Ai,i+1)+]和区间[S(Ai+1,i)-,S(Ai+1,i)+]重叠的长度。Among them, pi ,i+1 represents the preference degree when comparing adjacent schemes A i and A i+1 , and pi ,i+1 ∈[0,1]; pi ,i+1 =0.5 represents no preference , p i,i+1 <0.5 indicates that A i+1 is preferred, and p i,i+1 >0.5 indicates that A i is preferred;
Figure BDA0003474093400000074
Represents the interval [S(A i,i+1 ) - ,S(A i,i+1 ) + ] and the interval [S(A i+1,i ) - ,S(A i+1,i ) + ] length of overlap.

优选的,基于偏好可能度和连环比率计算综合重要程度并对方案进行全序排列,包括:Preferably, the comprehensive importance is calculated based on the preference probability and the chain ratio and the schemes are ranked in total order, including:

再将偏好可能度转化为相邻对比方案间重要程度比率值,即:Then convert the preference probability into the importance ratio between adjacent comparison schemes, namely:

Figure BDA0003474093400000075
Figure BDA0003474093400000075

其中:ri,i+1表示对比相邻评估方案Ai和Ai+1时的重要程度比率,rmax表示相邻对比方案间重要程度最大比率;Among them: r i,i+1 represents the importance ratio when comparing adjacent evaluation schemes A i and A i+1 , and r max represents the maximum importance ratio between adjacent comparison schemes;

根据重要程度比率值按照方案序号逆序方向依次计算各方案的综合重要程度,即:According to the importance ratio value, the comprehensive importance of each scheme is calculated in reverse order of scheme serial number, namely:

Figure BDA0003474093400000081
Figure BDA0003474093400000081

其中:Zi表示方案Ai的综合重要程度,ki表示方案Ai的综合评分值,且kI=1;Where: Z i represents the comprehensive importance of the scheme A i , ki represents the comprehensive score value of the scheme A i , and k I =1;

根据方案综合重要程度大小得到基于产品全生命周期的高端装备方案的全序排列。According to the comprehensive importance of the scheme, the total order of high-end equipment schemes based on the product life cycle is obtained.

第二方面,本发明还提供一种基于产品全生命周期的高端装备评估方法,所述方法包括:In a second aspect, the present invention also provides a high-end equipment evaluation method based on the full life cycle of a product, the method comprising:

获取高端装备的多个待评估方案、评估等级和基于高端装备全生命周期的多维评估指标体系;Obtain multiple plans to be evaluated for high-end equipment, evaluation levels, and a multi-dimensional evaluation index system based on the full life cycle of high-end equipment;

获取基于多维评估指标体系全生命周期中不同阶段的各个定量指标的测量数据;Obtain measurement data of various quantitative indicators at different stages in the full life cycle of the multi-dimensional evaluation indicator system;

基于多维度评估指标体系获取的多个待评估方案中的定量指标的历史测量值,获取各个定量指标的预测区间;Obtain the prediction interval of each quantitative indicator based on the historical measurement values of the quantitative indicators in the multiple to-be-evaluated schemes obtained by the multi-dimensional evaluation indicator system;

根据转换规则将所述定量指标的多个测量值转换成相邻方案间的统一识别框架下的置信分布的评估形式,得到相邻评估方案之间的各个定量指标评估信息;Converting a plurality of measured values of the quantitative index into an evaluation form of confidence distribution under the unified identification framework between adjacent schemes according to the conversion rule, to obtain evaluation information of each quantitative index between adjacent evaluation schemes;

融合各个定量指标评估信息,得到相邻评估方案间对比的各定量指标综合评估;Integrate the evaluation information of each quantitative index to obtain a comprehensive evaluation of each quantitative index compared between adjacent evaluation schemes;

结合各评估等级的效用,将相邻评估方案间对比的各定量指标综合评估转换为方案间对比的区间效用值,并将其转换为偏好可能度,最后基于偏好可能度和连环比率计算综合重要程度并对方案进行全序排列。Combined with the utility of each evaluation level, the comprehensive evaluation of each quantitative index of the comparison between adjacent evaluation schemes is converted into the interval utility value of the comparison between the schemes, and it is converted into a preference probability. Finally, the comprehensive importance is calculated based on the preference probability and the chain ratio. degree and arrange the plans in full order.

(三)有益效果(3) Beneficial effects

本发明提供了一种基于产品全生命周期的高端装备评估方法及系统。与现有技术相比,具备以下有益效果:The invention provides a high-end equipment evaluation method and system based on the whole life cycle of the product. Compared with the prior art, it has the following beneficial effects:

本发明包括评估数据获取模块、多维定量数据获取模块、定量指标预测区间获取模块、规则转换模块、融合模块和排序模块。其中评估数据获取模块用于获取高端装备的多个待评估方案、评估等级和基于高端装备全生命周期的多维评估指标体系;多维定量数据获取模块用于获取基于多维评估指标体系的全生命周期中不同阶段各个定量指标的测量数据;定量指标预测区间获取模块用于基于多维度评估指标体系获取的多个待评估方案中的定量指标的历史测量值,获取各个定量指标的预测区间;规则转换模块用于根据转换规则将所述定量指标的多个测量值转换成相邻方案间的统一识别框架下的置信分布的评估形式,得到相邻评估方案之间的各个定量指标评估信息;融合模块用于融合各个定量指标评估信息,得到相邻评估方案间对比的各定量指标综合评估;排序模块用于结合各评估等级的效用,将相邻评估方案间对比的各定量指标综合评估转换为方案间对比的区间效用值,并将其转换为偏好可能度,最后基于偏好可能度和连环比率计算综合重要程度并对方案进行全序排列。本发明通过规则转换模块将定量指标转换成两两对比的模式,在保证结果稳定性的同时大大提高了评估效率,完善了多属性评估体系,也使得基于全生命周期的高端装备多属性评估问题更符合实际。The invention includes an evaluation data acquisition module, a multi-dimensional quantitative data acquisition module, a quantitative index prediction interval acquisition module, a rule conversion module, a fusion module and a sorting module. The evaluation data acquisition module is used to acquire multiple plans to be evaluated, the evaluation level and the multi-dimensional evaluation index system based on the full life cycle of high-end equipment; the multi-dimensional quantitative data acquisition module is used to acquire the multi-dimensional evaluation index system based on the whole life cycle The measurement data of each quantitative index at different stages; the quantitative index prediction interval acquisition module is used to obtain the historical measurement values of the quantitative indicators in multiple schemes to be evaluated based on the multi-dimensional evaluation index system, and obtain the prediction interval of each quantitative index; the rule conversion module It is used to convert the multiple measurement values of the quantitative indicators into the evaluation form of the confidence distribution under the unified identification framework between adjacent schemes according to the conversion rules, so as to obtain the evaluation information of each quantitative index between the adjacent evaluation schemes; the fusion module uses It is used to fuse the evaluation information of various quantitative indicators to obtain a comprehensive evaluation of each quantitative indicator compared between adjacent evaluation schemes; the sorting module is used to combine the utility of each evaluation level, and convert the comprehensive evaluation of each quantitative indicator compared between adjacent evaluation schemes into one between the schemes. Compare the interval utility value and convert it into preference probability. Finally, based on preference probability and chain ratio, the comprehensive importance is calculated and the plans are ranked in total order. The invention converts the quantitative indicators into a pairwise comparison mode through the rule conversion module, which greatly improves the evaluation efficiency while ensuring the stability of the results, improves the multi-attribute evaluation system, and also solves the problem of multi-attribute evaluation of high-end equipment based on the full life cycle. more realistic.

附图说明Description of drawings

为了更清楚地说明本发明实施例或现有技术中的技术方案,下面将对实施例或现有技术描述中所需要使用的附图作简单地介绍,显而易见地,下面描述中的附图仅仅是本发明的一些实施例,对于本领域普通技术人员来讲,在不付出创造性劳动的前提下,还可以根据这些附图获得其他的附图。In order to explain the embodiments of the present invention or the technical solutions in the prior art more clearly, the following briefly introduces the accompanying drawings that need to be used in the description of the embodiments or the prior art. Obviously, the accompanying drawings in the following description are only These are some embodiments of the present invention. For those of ordinary skill in the art, other drawings can also be obtained according to these drawings without creative effort.

图1为本发明实施例中一种基于产品全生命周期的高端装备评估系统的框图。FIG. 1 is a block diagram of a high-end equipment evaluation system based on the full life cycle of a product in an embodiment of the present invention.

具体实施方式Detailed ways

为使本发明实施例的目的、技术方案和优点更加清楚,对本发明实施例中的技术方案进行清楚、完整地描述,显然,所描述的实施例是本发明一部分实施例,而不是全部的实施例。基于本发明中的实施例,本领域普通技术人员在没有作出创造性劳动前提下所获得的所有其他实施例,都属于本发明保护的范围。In order to make the purposes, technical solutions and advantages of the embodiments of the present invention clearer, the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention are described clearly and completely. Obviously, the described embodiments are part of the embodiments of the present invention, rather than all the implementations. example. Based on the embodiments of the present invention, all other embodiments obtained by those of ordinary skill in the art without creative efforts shall fall within the protection scope of the present invention.

本申请实施例通过提供一种基于产品全生命周期的高端装备评估方法及系统,解决了现有的评估方法效率较低问题,实现在保证结果稳定性的同时,大大提高了评估效率。The embodiment of the present application solves the problem of low efficiency of the existing evaluation method by providing a high-end equipment evaluation method and system based on the full life cycle of a product, and greatly improves the evaluation efficiency while ensuring the stability of the results.

本申请实施例中的技术方案为解决上述技术问题,总体思路如下:The technical solutions in the embodiments of the present application are to solve the above-mentioned technical problems, and the general idea is as follows:

现有的高端装备评估方法主要存在以下问题:对所有方案进行单独评估,导致评估时间长,成本高;定量指标的转换规则不完善,造成大量的信息损失;未采用分布式成对比较形式表达偏好信息,存在不确定性信息。本发明实施例通过采取相邻评估方案间两两对比的评估模式,而不是对所有方案进行单独评估,能节省评估时间和成本;采取分布形式表达偏好信息合理地不确定性信息,提高评估准确性。The existing high-end equipment evaluation methods mainly have the following problems: separate evaluation of all schemes leads to long evaluation time and high cost; the conversion rules of quantitative indicators are not perfect, resulting in a large amount of information loss; the form of distributed pairwise comparison is not used to express Preference information, there is uncertainty information. The embodiment of the present invention can save the evaluation time and cost by adopting the evaluation mode of pairwise comparison between adjacent evaluation schemes instead of evaluating all the schemes individually; adopting the distributed form to express the reasonable uncertainty information of the preference information, and improving the accuracy of the evaluation sex.

为了更好的理解上述技术方案,下面将结合说明书附图以及具体的实施方式对上述技术方案进行详细的说明。In order to better understand the above technical solutions, the above technical solutions will be described in detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings and specific embodiments.

本发明实施例提供一种基于产品全生命周期的高端装备评估系统,如图1所示,包括:An embodiment of the present invention provides a high-end equipment evaluation system based on the full life cycle of a product, as shown in FIG. 1 , including:

评估数据获取模块,用于获取高端装备的多个待评估方案、评估等级和基于高端装备全生命周期的多维评估指标体系;The evaluation data acquisition module is used to acquire multiple plans to be evaluated for high-end equipment, evaluation levels, and a multi-dimensional evaluation index system based on the full life cycle of high-end equipment;

多维定量数据获取模块,用于获取基于多维评估指标体系的全生命周期中不同阶段的各个定量指标的测量数据;The multi-dimensional quantitative data acquisition module is used to acquire the measurement data of each quantitative index at different stages in the whole life cycle based on the multi-dimensional evaluation index system;

定量指标预测区间获取模块,用于基于多维度评估指标体系获取的多个待评估方案中的定量指标的历史测量值,获取各个定量指标的预测区间;The quantitative index prediction interval obtaining module is used to obtain the historical measurement values of the quantitative indicators in the multiple to-be-evaluated schemes obtained based on the multi-dimensional evaluation index system, and obtain the prediction interval of each quantitative index;

规则转换模块,用于根据转换规则将所述定量指标的多个测量值转换成相邻方案间的统一识别框架下的置信分布的评估形式,得到相邻评估方案之间的各个定量指标评估信息;The rule conversion module is used to convert the multiple measurement values of the quantitative indicators into the evaluation form of the confidence distribution under the unified identification framework between adjacent schemes according to the conversion rules, and obtain the evaluation information of each quantitative indicator between the adjacent evaluation schemes ;

融合模块,用于融合各个定量指标评估信息,得到相邻评估方案间对比的各定量指标综合评估;The fusion module is used to fuse the evaluation information of each quantitative index to obtain a comprehensive evaluation of each quantitative index compared between adjacent evaluation schemes;

排序模块,用于结合各评估等级的效用,将相邻评估方案间对比的各定量指标综合评估转换为方案间对比的区间效用值,并将其转换为偏好可能度,最后基于偏好可能度和连环比率计算综合重要程度并对方案进行全序排列。The sorting module is used to combine the utility of each evaluation level, convert the comprehensive evaluation of each quantitative index of the comparison between adjacent evaluation schemes into the interval utility value of the comparison between the schemes, and convert it into a preference probability. Finally, based on the preference probability and The chain ratio calculates the comprehensive importance and arranges the plans in full order.

本发明实施例通过规则转换模块将定量指标转换成两两对比的模式,在保证结果稳定性的同时大大提高了评估效率,完善了多属性评估体系,也使得基于全生命周期的高端装备多属性评估问题更符合实际。The embodiment of the present invention converts the quantitative indicators into a pairwise comparison mode through the rule conversion module, which greatly improves the evaluation efficiency while ensuring the stability of the results, improves the multi-attribute evaluation system, and also enables the multi-attribute high-end equipment based on the full life cycle. Evaluation questions are more realistic.

下面对各个模块进行详细描述:Each module is described in detail below:

评估数据获取模块:Evaluation data acquisition module:

在具体实施过程中,评估数据获取模块用于获取高端装备的多个待评估方案、评估等级和基于高端装备全生命周期的多维评估指标体系。In the specific implementation process, the evaluation data acquisition module is used to obtain multiple plans to be evaluated for high-end equipment, evaluation levels, and a multi-dimensional evaluation index system based on the full life cycle of high-end equipment.

如:I个方案A={A1,A2,…,AI},L个定量指标a={a1,a2,…,aL},N个评估等级Ω={H1,H2,…,HN},其中Ai、al、Hn分别代表第i、l、n个评估方案、定量指标和评估等级;评估等级是一组离散的语言变量,表示方案间对比的偏好程度,从H1到HN代表偏好程度的增加,H1表示完全不偏好,HN表示完全偏好,H(N+1)/2表示无差别(N为奇数);u(Hn)表示评估等级Hn对应的效用,且-1≤u(Hn)≤1,u(Hn)≤u(Hn+1)。For example: I scheme A={A 1 ,A 2 ,...,A I }, L quantitative indicators a={a 1 ,a 2 ,...,a L }, N evaluation levels Ω={H 1 ,H 2 ,...,H N }, where A i , a l , and H n represent the i, l, and nth evaluation schemes, quantitative indicators, and evaluation grades, respectively; the evaluation grades are a set of discrete linguistic variables, representing the comparison between schemes. The degree of preference, from H 1 to H N represents the increase in the degree of preference, H 1 means no preference at all, H N means complete preference, H (N+1)/2 means no difference (N is an odd number); u(H n ) represents the utility corresponding to the evaluation level H n , and −1≤u(H n )≤1, u(H n )≤u(H n+1 ).

如某种高端装备的全生命周期包括:产品设计阶段、原材料获取加工阶段、制造装配阶段、运维阶段和报废回收阶段。其各个阶段包括多个定量指标,具体如表1所示:For example, the whole life cycle of a certain high-end equipment includes: product design stage, raw material acquisition and processing stage, manufacturing and assembly stage, operation and maintenance stage, and scrapping and recycling stage. Each stage includes a number of quantitative indicators, as shown in Table 1:

表1某种高端装备的全生命周期的多维评估指标体系Table 1 The multi-dimensional evaluation index system of the whole life cycle of a certain high-end equipment

Figure BDA0003474093400000121
Figure BDA0003474093400000121

Figure BDA0003474093400000131
Figure BDA0003474093400000131

多维定量数据获取模块:Multidimensional quantitative data acquisition module:

在具体实施过程中,多维定量数据获取模块在构建的多维评估指标体系的基础上,用于获取全生命周期中不同阶段的各个定量指标的测量数据。In the specific implementation process, the multi-dimensional quantitative data acquisition module is used to acquire the measurement data of each quantitative indicator at different stages in the whole life cycle on the basis of the constructed multi-dimensional evaluation index system.

获取全生命周期不同阶段的各个定量指标的测量数据可以依据指标性质采取不同方法。如在制造装配阶段,可采取在生产线上装配传感器的方法,测量不同时间或不同阶段某个零件的相关数据,获取产品规格的测量值;在运维阶段,可以采取数据爬取的方式获取用户对产品的使用满意度评论,使用相关机器学习、深度学习方法对评论进行情感分析以获取用户使用满意度的测量值;某些需要人工统计的定量指标如原材料价格等也可采取人工手动输入的方法获取。To obtain the measurement data of each quantitative index at different stages of the whole life cycle, different methods can be adopted according to the nature of the index. For example, in the manufacturing and assembly stage, the method of assembling sensors on the production line can be adopted to measure the relevant data of a certain part at different times or different stages to obtain the measurement value of the product specification; in the operation and maintenance stage, the user can be obtained by means of data crawling For the user satisfaction comments of products, sentiment analysis is performed on the comments using relevant machine learning and deep learning methods to obtain the measurement value of user satisfaction; some quantitative indicators that require manual statistics, such as raw material prices, can also be manually entered. method to obtain.

定量指标预测区间获取模块:Quantitative indicator prediction interval acquisition module:

在多维定量数据获取的过程中,因为不同阶段的不同定量指标的测量数据受到本身指标性质和外界因素的影响,所以会产生不同的数据区间。可以依据测量的历史数据作为某定性评估指标的预测区间。在具体的操作过程中,某些定量指标的预测区间也可采用行业规定的区间来确定,如国家第六阶段机动车污染物排放标准规定了发动机排放标准为:一氧化碳排放量为0~700mg,非甲烷烃排放含量为0~68mg等等;中国汽车分类标准规定:微型客车车长小于等于3.5m,小型客车车长小于6m等等。定量指标预测区间获取模块用于各个定量指标的预测区间的确定,为规则转换模块的运行打下基础。In the process of multi-dimensional quantitative data acquisition, because the measurement data of different quantitative indicators at different stages are affected by the nature of their own indicators and external factors, different data intervals will be generated. The measured historical data can be used as the prediction interval of a qualitative evaluation indicator. In the specific operation process, the prediction interval of some quantitative indicators can also be determined by the interval specified by the industry. For example, the national sixth stage motor vehicle pollutant emission standard stipulates that the engine emission standard is: carbon monoxide emission is 0 ~ 700mg, The non-methane hydrocarbon emission content is 0 ~ 68mg, etc.; China's automobile classification standard stipulates that the length of the minibus is less than or equal to 3.5m, and the length of the small bus is less than 6m. The quantitative index prediction interval acquisition module is used to determine the prediction interval of each quantitative index, which lays a foundation for the operation of the rule conversion module.

规则转换模块:Rule conversion module:

在具体实施过程中,规则转换模块用于根据转换规则将所述定量指标的多个测量值转换成相邻方案间的统一识别框架下的置信分布的评估形式,得到相邻评估方案之间的各个定量指标评估信息。In the specific implementation process, the rule conversion module is configured to convert the multiple measurement values of the quantitative indicators into the evaluation form of the confidence distribution under the unified identification framework between adjacent schemes according to the conversion rules, and obtain the relationship between the adjacent evaluation schemes. Each quantitative indicator evaluates information.

定量指标首先可以根据指标本身属性分类,划分为收益型指标、成本型指标、偏离型指标和固定型指标。为便于说明,假设评估等级N为奇数,一组表示偏好程度的指标偏好度Pre={Pre1,Pre2,…,PreN},其中指标偏好度Pren与评估等级Hn正向或反向一一对应,Pren∈[-1,1]且均匀分布。Quantitative indicators can first be classified according to the attributes of the indicators themselves, and can be divided into income indicators, cost indicators, deviation indicators and fixed indicators. For the convenience of explanation, assuming that the evaluation level N is an odd number, a set of index preference degrees Pre={Pre 1 , Pre 2 ,..., Pre N } representing the degree of preference, where the index preference degree Pre n and the evaluation level H n are positive or negative. One-to-one correspondence, Pre n ∈ [-1,1] and uniform distribution.

下面将从四个方面进行定量指标的转换:The following will convert quantitative indicators from four aspects:

(1)收益型指标:(1) Profitable indicators:

a、针对收益型指标

Figure BDA0003474093400000151
即Pren与Hn正向一一对应;a. For profit indicators
Figure BDA0003474093400000151
That is, there is a one-to-one positive correspondence between Pre n and H n ;

b、获取预测区间[FILl,FIHl],(l=1,2,…,L);b. Obtain the prediction interval [FIL l , FIH l ], (l=1,2,...,L);

c、获取相邻评估方案Ai和Ai+1在定量指标al上精确值

Figure BDA0003474093400000152
Figure BDA0003474093400000153
计算指标偏好度c. Obtain the exact values of the adjacent evaluation schemes A i and A i+1 on the quantitative index a l
Figure BDA0003474093400000152
and
Figure BDA0003474093400000153
Calculate index preference

Figure BDA0003474093400000154
Figure BDA0003474093400000154

d、若Pren≤Pre(l)i,i+1<Pren+1,通过指标偏好度Pre(l)i,i+1将定量指标在相邻评估方案上的对比评估转换为统一识别框架下的置信分布,表示为:d. If Pre n ≤Pre(l) i,i+1 <Pre n+1 , convert the comparative evaluation of quantitative indicators on adjacent evaluation schemes into unified identification through the index preference degree Pre(l) i,i+1 The confidence distribution under the framework, expressed as:

d(al(Ai,i+1))={(Hnn,l(Ai,i+1)),(Hn+1n+1,l(Ai,i+1))}d(a l (A i,i+1 ))={(H nn,l (A i,i+1 )),(H n+1n+1,l (A i,i +1 ))}

(l=1,2,…,L)(l=1,2,...,L)

其中:

Figure BDA0003474093400000155
βn+1,l(Ai,i+1)=1-βn,l(Ai,i+1)。in:
Figure BDA0003474093400000155
β n+1,1 (A i,i+1 )=1−β n,1 (A i,i+1 ).

d(al(Ai,i+1))表示维度ck在定量指标al上通过特定的转换规则得到的相邻评估方案Ai和Ai+1的对比评估,βn,l(Ai,i+1)和βn+1,l(Ai,i+1)分别代表分配到Hn和Hn+1等级的置信度。d(a l (A i,i+1 )) represents the comparative evaluation of the adjacent evaluation schemes A i and A i+1 obtained by the dimension c k on the quantitative index a l through a specific transformation rule, β n,l ( A i,i+1 ) and β n+1,l (A i,i+1 ) represent the confidence levels assigned to H n and H n+1 levels, respectively.

(2)成本型指标:(2) Cost-based indicators:

a、针对成本型指标

Figure BDA0003474093400000156
即Pren与Hn反向一一对应;a. For cost indicators
Figure BDA0003474093400000156
That is, there is a one-to-one reverse correspondence between Pre n and H n ;

b、获取预测区间[FILl,FIHl],(l=1,2,…,L);b. Obtain the prediction interval [FIL l , FIH l ], (l=1,2,...,L);

c、获取相邻评估方案Ai和Ai+1在定量指标al上精确值

Figure BDA0003474093400000157
Figure BDA0003474093400000158
计算指标偏好度c. Obtain the exact values of the adjacent evaluation schemes A i and A i+1 on the quantitative index a l
Figure BDA0003474093400000157
and
Figure BDA0003474093400000158
Calculate index preference

Figure BDA0003474093400000159
Figure BDA0003474093400000159

d、若Pren≤Pre(l)i,i+1≤Pren+1,通过指标偏好度Pre(l)i,i+1将定量指标在相邻评估方案上的对比评估转换为统一识别框架下的置信分布,表示为:d. If Pre n ≤Pre(l) i,i+1 ≤Pre n+1 , convert the comparative evaluation of quantitative indicators on adjacent evaluation schemes into unified identification through the index preference degree Pre(l) i,i+1 The confidence distribution under the framework, expressed as:

d(al(Ai,i+1))={(HN+1-nN+1-n,l(Ai,i+1)),(HN-nN-n,l(Ai,i+1))}d(a l (A i,i+1 ))={(H N+1-nN+1-n,l (A i,i+1 )),(H NnNn,l ( A i,i+1 ))}

(l=1,2,…,L)(l=1,2,...,L)

其中:in:

Figure BDA0003474093400000161
βN-n,l(Ai,i+1)=1-βN+1-n,l(Ai,i+1)。
Figure BDA0003474093400000161
β Nn,1 (A i,i+1 )=1−β N+1−n,1 (A i,i+1 ).

βN+1-n,l(Ai,i+1)代表分配到和HN+1-n等级的置信度,βN-n,l(Ai,i+1)代表分配到和HN-n等级的置信度。β N+1-n,l (A i,i+1 ) represents the confidence level assigned to the sum H N+1-n level, β Nn,l (A i,i+1 ) represents the confidence level assigned to the sum H Nn level confidence.

(3)偏离型指标:(3) Deviation index:

偏离型指标指在对某个定量指标进行评估时,存在一个偏离值(或最差值),无论实际的评估值是大于或是小于这个偏离值,都代表实际情况要优于最差情况。当实际的评估值大于偏离值时,定量指标的表现随着实际值的增大而变好;当实际的评估值小于偏离值时,定量指标的表现随着实际值的减小而变好。Deviation indicators refer to the existence of a deviation value (or worst value) when evaluating a quantitative indicator. Whether the actual evaluation value is greater or less than the deviation value, it means that the actual situation is better than the worst case. When the actual evaluation value is greater than the deviation value, the performance of the quantitative index becomes better as the actual value increases; when the actual evaluation value is smaller than the deviation value, the performance of the quantitative index becomes better as the actual value decreases.

a、针对偏离指标

Figure BDA0003474093400000162
即Pren与Hn正向一一对应;a. For deviation indicators
Figure BDA0003474093400000162
That is, there is a one-to-one positive correspondence between Pre n and H n ;

b、获取预测区间[FILl,FIHl],(l=1,2,…,L)。其中为了便于说明,该预测区间关于偏离值对称。b. Obtain the prediction interval [FIL l , FIH l ], (l=1,2,...,L). For the convenience of explanation, the prediction interval is symmetrical about the deviation value.

c、获取相邻评估方案Ai和Ai+1在定性指标al上精确值

Figure BDA0003474093400000163
Figure BDA0003474093400000164
计算指标偏好度c. Obtain the exact values of the adjacent evaluation schemes A i and A i+1 on the qualitative index a l
Figure BDA0003474093400000163
and
Figure BDA0003474093400000164
Calculate index preference

Figure BDA0003474093400000165
Figure BDA0003474093400000165

d、若Pren≤Pre(l)i,i+1<Pren+1,通过指标偏好度Pre(l)i,i+1将定量指标在相邻评估方案上的对比评估转换为统一识别框架下的置信分布,表示为:d. If Pre n ≤Pre(l) i,i+1 <Pre n+1 , convert the comparative evaluation of quantitative indicators on adjacent evaluation schemes into unified identification through the index preference degree Pre(l) i,i+1 The confidence distribution under the framework, expressed as:

d(al(Ai,i+1))={(Hnn,l(Ai,i+1)),(Hn+1n+1,l(Ai,i+1))}d(a l (A i,i+1 ))={(H nn,l (A i,i+1 )),(H n+1n+1,l (A i,i +1 ))}

(l=1,2,…,L)(l=1,2,...,L)

其中:in:

Figure BDA0003474093400000171
βn+1,l(Ai,i+1)=1-βn,l(Ai,i+1)。
Figure BDA0003474093400000171
β n+1,1 (A i,i+1 )=1−β n,1 (A i,i+1 ).

βn,l(Ai,i+1)和βn+1,l(Ai,i+1)分别代表分配到Hn和Hn+1等级的置信度。β n,l (A i,i+1 ) and β n+1,1 (A i,i+1 ) represent the confidence levels assigned to H n and H n+1 levels, respectively.

(4)固定型指标:(4) Fixed indicators:

固定型指标指在对某个定量指标进行评估时,存在一个固定值(或最好值),无论实际的评估值是大于或是小于这个固定值,都代表实际情况要差劣于最优情况。当实际的评估值大于固定值时,定量指标的表现随着实际值的增大而变差;当实际的评估值小于固定值时,定量指标的表现随着实际值的减小而变差。Fixed index means that when evaluating a quantitative index, there is a fixed value (or the best value), no matter whether the actual evaluation value is greater or less than this fixed value, it means that the actual situation is worse than the optimal situation. . When the actual evaluation value is greater than the fixed value, the performance of the quantitative index deteriorates with the increase of the actual value; when the actual evaluation value is less than the fixed value, the performance of the quantitative index deteriorates as the actual value decreases.

a、针对普通收益指标

Figure BDA0003474093400000172
即Pren与Hn反向一一对应;a. For ordinary income indicators
Figure BDA0003474093400000172
That is, there is a one-to-one reverse correspondence between Pre n and H n ;

b、获取预测区间[FILl,FIHl],(l=1,2,…,L)。其中为了便于说明,该预测区间关于固定值对称。b. Obtain the prediction interval [FIL l , FIH l ], (l=1,2,...,L). For the convenience of explanation, the prediction interval is symmetric about the fixed value.

c、获取相邻评估方案Ai和Ai+1在定量指标al上精确值

Figure BDA0003474093400000174
Figure BDA0003474093400000175
计算指标偏好度c. Obtain the exact values of the adjacent evaluation schemes A i and A i+1 on the quantitative index a l
Figure BDA0003474093400000174
and
Figure BDA0003474093400000175
Calculate index preference

Figure BDA0003474093400000173
Figure BDA0003474093400000173

d、若Pren≤Pre(l)i,i+1<Pren+1,通过指标偏好度Pre(l)i,i+1将定量指标在相邻评估方案上的对比评估转换为统一识别框架下的置信分布,表示为:d. If Pre n ≤Pre(l) i,i+1 <Pre n+1 , convert the comparative evaluation of quantitative indicators on adjacent evaluation schemes into unified identification through the index preference degree Pre(l) i,i+1 The confidence distribution under the framework, expressed as:

d(al(Ai,i+1))={(HN+1-nN+1-n,l(Ai,i+1)),(HN-nN-n,l(Ai,i+1))}d(a l (A i,i+1 ))={(H N+1-nN+1-n,l (A i,i+1 )),(H NnNn,l ( A i,i+1 ))}

(l=1,2,…,L)(l=1,2,...,L)

其中:in:

Figure BDA0003474093400000181
βN-n,l(Ai,i+1)=1-βN+1-n,l(Ai,i+1)。
Figure BDA0003474093400000181
β Nn,1 (A i,i+1 )=1−β N+1−n,1 (A i,i+1 ).

βN+1-n,l(Ai,i+1)和βN-n,l(Ai,i+1)分别代表分配到HN+1-n和HN-n等级的置信度。β N+1-n,1 (A i,i+1 ) and β Nn,1 (A i,i+1 ) represent the confidence levels assigned to the H N+1-n and H Nn ranks, respectively.

经过上述规则转换模块操作,可以得到初始的评估矩阵:After the above rule conversion module operation, the initial evaluation matrix can be obtained:

d(a(A1,2)) d(a(A2,3))…d(a(Ai,i+1))…d(a(AI-1,I))d(a(A 1,2 )) d(a(A 2,3 ))…d(a(A i,i+1 ))…d(a(A I-1,I ))

a1 d(a1(A1,2)) d(a1(A2,3))…d(a1(Ai,i+1))…d(a1(AI-1,I))a 1 d(a 1 (A 1,2 )) d(a 1 (A 2,3 ))…d(a 1 (A i,i+1 ))…d(a 1 (A I-1,I ))

a2 d(a2(A1,2)) d(a2(A2,3))…d(a2(Ai,i+1))…d(a2(AI-1,I))a 2 d(a 2 (A 1,2 )) d(a 2 (A 2,3 ))…d(a 2 (A i,i+1 ))…d(a 2 (A I-1,I ))

…………………………………

ald(al(A1,2)) d(al(A2,3))…d(al(Ai,i+1))…d(al(AI-1,I))a l d(a l (A 1,2 )) d(a l (A 2,3 ))…d(a l (A i,i+1 ))…d(a l (A I-1,I ))

…………………………………

aL-1d(aL-1(A1,2)) d(a3(A2,3))…d(aL-1(Ai,i+1))…d(aL-1(AI-1,I)a L-1 d(a L-1 (A 1,2 )) d(a 3 (A 2,3 ))…d(a L-1 (A i,i+1 ))…d(a L- 1 (A I-1,I )

aLd(aL(A1,2)) d(a4(A2,3))…d(aL(Ai,i+1))…d(aL(AI-1,I))a L d(a L (A 1,2 )) d(a 4 (A 2,3 ))…d(a L (A i,i+1 ))…d(a L (A I-1,I ))

其中d(al(Ai,i+1))表示通过规则转换模块的操作,将方案Ai和Ai+1在定量指标al上的精确值

Figure BDA0003474093400000182
Figure BDA0003474093400000183
转换为相邻方案Ai和Ai+1在定量指标al上的对比评估。融合模块:Among them, d(a l (A i,i+1 )) represents the operation of the rule conversion module, and the exact value of the scheme A i and A i+1 on the quantitative index a l
Figure BDA0003474093400000182
and
Figure BDA0003474093400000183
Converted to the comparative evaluation of the adjacent schemes A i and A i+1 on the quantitative index a l . Fusion module:

在具体实施过程中,融合模块用于融合多个定量指标评估信息,得到相邻评估方案间对比的各定量指标综合评估。In the specific implementation process, the fusion module is used to fuse the evaluation information of multiple quantitative indicators to obtain a comprehensive evaluation of each quantitative indicator compared between adjacent evaluation schemes.

将每对相邻方案对比下不同维度给出的多个定量指标评估信息进行融合,表示为各相邻评估方案间对比的综合评估,即:The evaluation information of multiple quantitative indicators given by different dimensions under each pair of adjacent schemes is fused, and expressed as a comprehensive evaluation of the comparison between adjacent evaluation schemes, namely:

d(Ai,i+1)={(Hnn(Ai,i+1)),n=1,2,…,N;(Ω,βΩ(Ai,i+1))}d(A i,i+1 )={(H nn (A i,i+1 )),n=1,2,...,N; (Ω,β Ω (A i,i+1 ) )}

(l=1,2,…,L)(l=1,2,...,L)

其中:in:

d(Ai,i+1)表示对比相邻评估方案Ai和Ai+1所有定性指标做出的综合评估,βn(Ai,i+1)和βΩ(Ai,i+1)分别代表分配到Hn等级和全局无知的置信度。全局无知Ω表示有若干置信度没有被分配到任何评估等级上,这是由于可能存在部分评估指标因为各种外界因素影响无法得到测量值,这种信息缺失表示为分配到全局无知Ω的置信度为1,因此融合多个定性指标评估信息后会在综合评估中出现信息损失的情况。d(A i,i+1 ) represents the comprehensive evaluation made by comparing all qualitative indicators of adjacent evaluation schemes A i and A i+1 , β n (A i,i+1 ) and β Ω (A i,i+ 1 ) represent the confidence assigned to the Hn level and global ignorance, respectively. Global ignorance Ω indicates that there are several confidence levels that have not been assigned to any evaluation level. This is because there may be some evaluation indicators that cannot be measured due to various external factors. This lack of information is expressed as the confidence level assigned to the global ignorance Ω. is 1, so after the evaluation information of multiple qualitative indicators is integrated, information loss will occur in the comprehensive evaluation.

关于定量指标评估信息融合的方法,采用了证据推理(ER)方法处理这种不确定性的评估信息。ER方法的独特之处在于能够以系统一致的方式表示评估信息中的不完整性和无知。基于ER方法的聚合函数可以表示为:Regarding the method of quantitative index evaluation information fusion, Evidence Reasoning (ER) method is adopted to deal with this uncertain evaluation information. The ER approach is unique in its ability to represent incompleteness and ignorance in evaluation information in a systematic and consistent manner. The aggregation function based on the ER method can be expressed as:

d(Ai,i+1)=γ(d(a1(Ai,i+1)),d(a2(Ai,i+1)),…,d(aL(Ai,i+1)))d(A i,i+1 )=γ(d(a 1 (A i,i+1 )),d(a 2 (A i,i+1 )),…,d(a L (A i, i+1 )))

其中,γ是ER聚合函数,融合过程可以表示为:mn,l=ωl·βn,i(Ai,i+1),(n=1,…N;l=1,…L)Among them, γ is the ER aggregation function, and the fusion process can be expressed as: m n,ll ·β n,i (A i,i+1 ), (n=1,...N; l=1,...L)

Figure BDA0003474093400000191
Figure BDA0003474093400000191

Figure BDA0003474093400000192
Figure BDA0003474093400000192

Figure BDA0003474093400000193
Figure BDA0003474093400000193

Figure BDA0003474093400000194
Figure BDA0003474093400000194

Figure BDA0003474093400000201
Figure BDA0003474093400000201

Figure BDA0003474093400000202
Figure BDA0003474093400000202

Figure BDA0003474093400000203
Figure BDA0003474093400000203

Figure BDA0003474093400000204
Figure BDA0003474093400000204

Figure BDA0003474093400000205
Figure BDA0003474093400000205

其中mn,l、mΩ,l

Figure BDA0003474093400000206
mn
Figure BDA0003474093400000207
K都表示为融合过程中的中间变量,ωl表示定量指标al的权重。where m n,l , m Ω,l ,
Figure BDA0003474093400000206
m n ,
Figure BDA0003474093400000207
K are all represented as intermediate variables in the fusion process, and ω l represents the weight of the quantitative index a l .

排序模块,用于结合各评估等级的效用,将相邻评估方案间的对比综合评估转换为方案间对比的区间效用值,并将其转换为偏好可能度,最后基于偏好可能度和连环比率计算综合重要程度并对方案进行全序排列。The sorting module is used to combine the utility of each evaluation level, convert the comprehensive evaluation of the comparison between adjacent evaluation schemes into the interval utility value of the comparison between the schemes, and convert it into a preference probability, and finally calculate based on the preference probability and the chain ratio. Synthesize the importance and rank the plans in full order.

基于相邻评估方案间的对比综合评估,结合各评估等级的效用,将其转换为得分区间,即:Based on the comparative comprehensive evaluation between adjacent evaluation schemes, combined with the utility of each evaluation level, it is converted into a score interval, namely:

Figure BDA0003474093400000208
Figure BDA0003474093400000208

Figure BDA0003474093400000209
Figure BDA0003474093400000209

其中,S(Ai,i+1)-和S(Ai,i+1)+表示对比相邻评估方案Ai和Ai+1综合评估区间效用值的下限和上限,且S(Ai,i+1)-=-S(Ai+1,i)+,S(Ai,i+1)+=-S(Ai+1,i)-Among them, S(A i,i+1 ) - and S(A i,i+1 ) + represent the lower and upper limits of the utility value of the comprehensive evaluation interval comparing adjacent evaluation schemes A i and A i+1 , and S(A i,i+1 ) - = -S(A i+1,i ) + , S(A i,i+1 ) + = -S(A i+1,i ) - .

将上述区间效用值转换为相邻对比方案间偏好可能度,即:Convert the above interval utility value into the preference probability between adjacent contrast schemes, namely:

Figure BDA0003474093400000211
Figure BDA0003474093400000211

其中,pi,i+1表示对比相邻方案Ai和Ai+1时的偏好程度,且pi,i+1∈[0,1];pi,i+1=0.5表示无偏好,pi,i+1<0.5表示更加偏好Ai+1,pi,i+1>0.5表示更加偏好Ai

Figure BDA0003474093400000212
表示区间[S(Ai,i+1)-,S(Ai,i+1)+]和区间[S(Ai+1,i)-,S(Ai+1,i)+]重叠的长度。Among them, pi ,i+1 represents the degree of preference when comparing adjacent schemes A i and A i+1 , and pi ,i+1 ∈[0,1]; pi ,i+1 =0.5 represents no preference , p i,i+1 <0.5 indicates that A i+1 is preferred, and p i,i+1 >0.5 indicates that A i is preferred;
Figure BDA0003474093400000212
Represents the interval [S(A i,i+1 ) - ,S(A i,i+1 ) + ] and the interval [S(A i+1,i ) - ,S(A i+1,i ) + ] length of overlap.

再将偏好可能度转化为相邻对比方案间重要程度比率值,即:Then convert the preference probability into the importance ratio between adjacent comparison schemes, namely:

Figure BDA0003474093400000213
Figure BDA0003474093400000213

其中ri,i+1表示对比相邻评估方案Ai和Ai+1时的重要程度比率,rmax表示相邻对比方案间重要程度最大比率。Among them, ri ,i+1 represents the ratio of importance degree when comparing adjacent evaluation schemes A i and A i+1 , and r max represents the maximum ratio of importance degree between adjacent comparison schemes.

最后根据重要程度比率值按照方案序号逆序方向依次计算各方案的综合重要程度,即:Finally, according to the importance ratio value, the comprehensive importance of each scheme is calculated in reverse order of scheme serial number, namely:

Figure BDA0003474093400000214
ki=ri,i+1·ki+1
Figure BDA0003474093400000214
k i =r i,i+1 ·ki +1

其中Zi表示方案Ai的综合重要程度,ki表示方案Ai的综合评分值,且kI=1。Wherein Z i represents the comprehensive importance of the scheme A i , ki represents the comprehensive score value of the scheme A i , and k I =1.

最终根据方案综合重要程度大小得到基于产品全生命周期的高端装备方案的全序排列。Finally, according to the comprehensive importance of the scheme, the full order of high-end equipment schemes based on the product life cycle is obtained.

本发明实施例还提供一种基于产品全生命周期的高端装备评估方法,该方法包括:The embodiment of the present invention also provides a high-end equipment evaluation method based on the whole life cycle of the product, and the method includes:

获取高端装备的多个待评估方案、评估等级和基于高端装备全生命周期的多维评估指标体系;Obtain multiple plans to be evaluated for high-end equipment, evaluation levels, and a multi-dimensional evaluation index system based on the full life cycle of high-end equipment;

获取基于多维评估指标体系全生命周期中不同阶段的各个定量指标的测量数据;Obtain measurement data of various quantitative indicators at different stages in the full life cycle of the multi-dimensional evaluation indicator system;

基于多维度评估指标体系获取的多个待评估方案中的定量指标的历史测量值,获取各个定量指标的预测区间;Obtain the prediction interval of each quantitative indicator based on the historical measurement values of the quantitative indicators in the multiple to-be-evaluated schemes obtained by the multi-dimensional evaluation indicator system;

根据转换规则将所述定量指标的多个测量值转换成相邻方案间的统一识别框架下的置信分布的评估形式,得到相邻评估方案之间的各个定量指标评估信息;Converting a plurality of measured values of the quantitative index into an evaluation form of confidence distribution under the unified identification framework between adjacent schemes according to the conversion rule, to obtain evaluation information of each quantitative index between adjacent evaluation schemes;

融合各个定量指标评估信息,得到相邻评估方案间对比的各定量指标综合评估;Integrate the evaluation information of each quantitative index to obtain a comprehensive evaluation of each quantitative index compared between adjacent evaluation schemes;

结合各评估等级的效用,将相邻评估方案间对比的各定量指标综合评估转换为方案间对比的区间效用值,并将其转换为偏好可能度,最后基于偏好可能度和连环比率计算综合重要程度并对方案进行全序排列。Combined with the utility of each evaluation level, the comprehensive evaluation of each quantitative index of the comparison between adjacent evaluation schemes is converted into the interval utility value of the comparison between the schemes, and converted into the preference probability, and finally the comprehensive importance is calculated based on the preference probability and the chain ratio. degree and arrange the plans in full order.

理解的是,本发明实施例提供的基于产品全生命周期的高端装备评估方法与上述基于产品全生命周期的高端装备评估系统相对应,其有关内容的解释、举例、有益效果等部分可以参考基于产品全生命周期的高端装备评估系统中的相应内容,此处不再赘述。It is understood that the high-end equipment evaluation method based on the product life cycle provided by the embodiment of the present invention corresponds to the above-mentioned high-end equipment evaluation system based on the product life cycle. The corresponding content in the high-end equipment evaluation system of the product life cycle will not be repeated here.

综上所述,与现有技术相比,具备以下有益效果:To sum up, compared with the prior art, it has the following beneficial effects:

1、本发明实施例采取方案间两两对比的模式,节省了评估成本,在保证结果稳定性的同时大大提高了评估效率,完善了多属性评估体系,也使得基于全生命周期的高端装备多属性评估问题更符合实际。1. The embodiment of the present invention adopts the mode of pairwise comparison between the schemes, which saves the evaluation cost, greatly improves the evaluation efficiency while ensuring the stability of the results, improves the multi-attribute evaluation system, and also makes the high-end equipment based on the whole life cycle more abundant. Attribute evaluation questions are more realistic.

2、本发明实施例使用全生命周期理论对高端装备进行评估,实现高端装备各环节要素协同管理,减少成本,提高效率。2. The embodiment of the present invention uses the whole life cycle theory to evaluate the high-end equipment, realizes the coordinated management of the elements of each link of the high-end equipment, reduces the cost and improves the efficiency.

3、本发明实施例针对定量指标的不同属性类别,公开了四种不同的定量指标转换规则,使得定量指标在统一的框架下表达评估信息,便于信息的融合,提高了指标信息的可信度和可靠性;3. The embodiment of the present invention discloses four different quantitative index conversion rules for different attribute categories of quantitative indicators, so that quantitative indicators can express evaluation information under a unified framework, facilitate information fusion, and improve the credibility of indicator information. and reliability;

4、本发明实施例采用分布式偏好信息,能够更好地处理信息的不完整性和不精确性,使得评估信息的表达更加科学合理。4. The embodiment of the present invention adopts distributed preference information, which can better handle the incompleteness and inaccuracy of information, and make the expression of evaluation information more scientific and reasonable.

需要说明的是,通过以上的实施方式的描述,本领域的技术人员可以清楚地了解到各实施方式可借助软件加必需的通用硬件平台的方式来实现。基于这样的理解,上述技术方案本质上或者说对现有技术做出贡献的部分可以以软件产品的形式体现出来,该计算机软件产品可以存储在计算机可读存储介质中,如ROM/RAM、磁碟、光盘等,包括若干指令用以使得一台计算机设备(可以是个人计算机,服务器,或者网络设备等)执行各个实施例或者实施例的某些部分所述的方法。It should be noted that, from the description of the above embodiments, those skilled in the art can clearly understand that each embodiment can be implemented by means of software plus a necessary general hardware platform. Based on this understanding, the above-mentioned technical solutions can be embodied in the form of software products in essence or the parts that make contributions to the prior art, and the computer software products can be stored in computer-readable storage media, such as ROM/RAM, magnetic A disc, an optical disc, etc., includes several instructions for causing a computer device (which may be a personal computer, a server, or a network device, etc.) to perform the methods described in various embodiments or some parts of the embodiments.

在本文中,诸如第一和第二等之类的关系术语仅仅用来将一个实体或者操作与另一个实体或操作区分开来,而不一定要求或者暗示这些实体或操作之间存在任何这种实际的关系或者顺序。而且,术语“包括”、“包含”或者其任何其他变体意在涵盖非排他性的包含,从而使得包括一系列要素的过程、方法、物品或者设备不仅包括那些要素,而且还包括没有明确列出的其他要素,或者是还包括为这种过程、方法、物品或者设备所固有的要素。在没有更多限制的情况下,由语句“包括一个……”限定的要素,并不排除在包括所述要素的过程、方法、物品或者设备中还存在另外的相同要素。In this document, relational terms such as first and second, etc. are used only to distinguish one entity or operation from another entity or operation, and do not necessarily require or imply any such existence between these entities or operations. The actual relationship or sequence. Moreover, the terms "comprising", "comprising" or any other variation thereof are intended to encompass a non-exclusive inclusion such that a process, method, article or device comprising a list of elements includes not only those elements, but also includes not explicitly listed or other elements inherent to such a process, method, article or apparatus. Without further limitation, an element qualified by the phrase "comprising a..." does not preclude the presence of additional identical elements in a process, method, article or apparatus that includes the element.

以上实施例仅用以说明本发明的技术方案,而非对其限制;尽管参照前述实施例对本发明进行了详细的说明,本领域的普通技术人员应当理解:其依然可以对前述各实施例所记载的技术方案进行修改,或者对其中部分技术特征进行等同替换;而这些修改或者替换,并不使相应技术方案的本质脱离本发明各实施例技术方案的精神和范围。The above embodiments are only used to illustrate the technical solutions of the present invention, but not to limit them; although the present invention has been described in detail with reference to the foregoing embodiments, those of ordinary skill in the art should understand that: The recorded technical solutions are modified, or some technical features thereof are equivalently replaced; and these modifications or replacements do not make the essence of the corresponding technical solutions deviate from the spirit and scope of the technical solutions of the embodiments of the present invention.

Claims (10)

1. A product full lifecycle based high-end equipment evaluation system, comprising:
the evaluation data acquisition module is used for acquiring a plurality of schemes to be evaluated, evaluation grades and a multi-dimensional evaluation index system based on the full life cycle of the high-end equipment;
the multidimensional quantitative data acquisition module is used for acquiring the measurement data of each quantitative index at different stages in the whole life cycle based on the multidimensional evaluation index system;
the quantitative index prediction interval obtaining module is used for obtaining the prediction interval of each quantitative index based on the historical measured values of the quantitative indexes in the multiple schemes to be evaluated, which are obtained by the multi-dimensional evaluation index system;
the rule conversion module is used for converting the plurality of measured values of the quantitative indexes into an evaluation form of confidence distribution under a unified identification framework between adjacent schemes according to a conversion rule to obtain evaluation information of each quantitative index between the adjacent evaluation schemes;
the fusion module is used for fusing the quantitative index evaluation information to obtain the comprehensive evaluation of the quantitative indexes compared between the adjacent evaluation schemes;
the sequencing module is used for combining the utility of each evaluation grade and converting the comprehensive evaluation of each quantitative index compared between adjacent evaluation schemes into an interval utility value compared between the schemes; converting the interval utility value into a preference possibility; and calculating comprehensive importance degree based on the preference possibility degree and the interlinkage ratio and carrying out full-order arrangement on the schemes.
2. The product full lifecycle-based high-end equipment evaluation system of claim 1, wherein the quantitative index prediction interval acquisition module is further to: and acquiring the prediction interval of each quantitative index according to the industry regulation.
3. The product full lifecycle-based high-end equipment evaluation system of claim 1, wherein the evaluation rating comprises:
a set of discrete variables representing the preference for inter-solution comparisons, from H1To HNRepresenting an increase in the degree of preference, H1Indicates complete non-preference, HNIndicates complete preference, H(N+1)/2Representing no difference, N is an odd number.
4. The product full lifecycle-based high-end equipment evaluation system of claim 1, wherein the quantitative indicators comprise:
research and development expense, product specification, product life, core technology ratio, research and development personnel proportion, raw material price, processing cost, raw material transportation distance, raw material transportation time, manufacturing automation rate, workpiece specification, assembly time, product qualification rate, operation and maintenance precision rate, user use satisfaction degree, energy consumption, core component reutilization rate and scrap recovery cost.
5. The product full lifecycle-based high-end equipment evaluation system of claim 1, wherein the conversion rules comprise:
dividing the quantitative index into a profit type index, a cost type index, a deviation type index and a fixed type index;
the conversion rule of the profit type indicator includes:
a. for revenue type index
Figure FDA0003474093390000021
I.e. PrenAnd HnForward one-to-one correspondence, Pren∈[-1,1]And are uniformly distributed;
b. obtaining a prediction Interval [ FIL ]l,FIHl],(l=1,2,…,L);
c. Obtaining a neighbor evaluation scenario AiAnd Ai+1At a quantitative index alUpper precise value
Figure FDA0003474093390000022
And
Figure FDA0003474093390000023
calculating index preference
Figure FDA0003474093390000024
d. If Pren≤Pre(l)i,i+1<Pren+1Preference by index Pre (l)i,i+1And converting the comparative evaluation of the quantitative indexes on the adjacent evaluation schemes into confidence distribution under a unified recognition framework, wherein the confidence distribution is expressed as:
d(al(Ai,i+1))={(Hnn,l(Ai,i+1)),(Hn+1n+1,l(Ai,i+1))}
(l=1,2,…,L)
wherein:
Figure FDA0003474093390000031
βn+1,l(Ai,i+1)=1-βn,l(Ai,i+1);
d(al(Ai,i+1) Represents dimension c)kAt a quantitative index alAbove adjacent evaluation scheme A by a specific transformation ruleiAnd Ai+1Comparative evaluation of (1), betan,l(Ai,i+1) And betan+1,l(Ai,i+1) Respectively represent assignment to HnAnd Hn+1Confidence of the level;
the conversion rules of the cost-type index include:
a. aiming at cost type index
Figure FDA0003474093390000032
I.e. PrenAnd HnReverse one-to-one correspondence, Pren∈[-1,1]And are uniformly distributed;
b. obtaining a prediction Interval [ FIL ]l,FIHl],(l=1,2,…,L);
c. Obtaining a neighbor evaluation scenario AiAnd Ai+1At a quantitative index alUpper precise value
Figure FDA0003474093390000035
And
Figure FDA0003474093390000034
calculating index preference
Figure FDA0003474093390000033
d. If Pren≤Pre(l)i,i+1≤Pren+1Preference by index Pre (l)i,i+1Pairing of quantitative indicators on adjacent evaluation schemesThe ratio evaluation is converted into a confidence distribution under a unified recognition framework, which is expressed as:
d(al(Ai,i+1))={(HN+1-nN+1-n,l(Ai,i+1)),(HN-nN-n,l(Ai,i+1))}
(l=1,2,…,L)
wherein:
Figure FDA0003474093390000041
βN-n,l(Ai,i+1)=1-βN+1-n,l(Ai,i+1);
βN+1-n,l(Ai,i+1) Representative assignment to sum HN+1-nConfidence of the grade, βN-n,l(Ai,i+1) Representative assignment to sum HN-nConfidence of the level;
the conversion rule of the deviation type index comprises the following steps:
a. for deviation index
Figure FDA0003474093390000042
I.e. PrenAnd HnForward one-to-one correspondence, Pren∈[-1,1]And are uniformly distributed;
b. obtaining a prediction Interval [ FIL ]l,FIHl],(l=1,2,…,L);
c. Obtaining a neighbor evaluation scenario AiAnd Ai+1In qualitative index alUpper precise value
Figure FDA0003474093390000043
And
Figure FDA0003474093390000044
calculating index preference
Figure FDA0003474093390000045
d. If Pren≤Pre(l)i,i+1<Pren+1Preference by index Pre (l)i,i+1And converting the comparative evaluation of the quantitative indexes on the adjacent evaluation schemes into confidence distribution under a unified recognition framework, wherein the confidence distribution is expressed as:
d(al(Ai,i+1))={(Hnn,l(Ai,i+1)),(Hn+1n+1,l(Ai,i+1))}
(l=1,2,…,L)
wherein:
Figure FDA0003474093390000046
βn+1,l(Ai,i+1)=1-βn,l(Ai,i+1);
βn,l(Ai,i+1) And betan+1,l(Ai,i+1) Respectively represent assignment to HnAnd Hn+1Confidence of the level;
the conversion rule of the fixed index includes:
a. aiming at the general income index
Figure FDA0003474093390000047
I.e. PrenAnd HnReverse one-to-one correspondence, Pren∈[-1,1]And are uniformly distributed;
b. obtaining a prediction Interval [ FIL ]l,FIHl],(l=1,2,…,L);
c. Obtaining a neighbor evaluation scenario AiAnd Ai+1At a quantitative index alUpper precise value
Figure FDA0003474093390000051
And
Figure FDA0003474093390000052
calculating the index preference:
Figure FDA0003474093390000053
d. if Pren≤Pre(l)i,i+1<Pren+1Preference by index Pre (l)i,i+1And converting the comparative evaluation of the quantitative indexes on the adjacent evaluation schemes into confidence distribution under a unified recognition framework, wherein the confidence distribution is expressed as:
d(al(Ai,i+1))={(HN+1-nN+1-n,l(Ai,i+1)),(HN-nN-n,l(Ai,i+1))}
(l=1,2,…,L)
wherein:
Figure FDA0003474093390000054
βN-n,l(Ai,i+1)=1-βN+1-n,l(Ai,i+1);
βN+1-n,l(Ai,i+1) And betaN-n,l(Ai,i+1) Respectively represent assignment to HN+1-nAnd HN-nThe confidence of the level.
6. The product full-life-cycle-based high-end equipment evaluation system as claimed in any one of claims 1 to 5, wherein the fusion of the evaluation information of each quantitative index to obtain the comprehensive evaluation of each quantitative index for comparison between adjacent evaluation schemes comprises:
fusing a plurality of quantitative index evaluation information given by different dimensions under each pair of adjacent schemes, and expressing the fused quantitative index evaluation information as the comprehensive evaluation of the comparison between the adjacent evaluation schemes, namely:
d(Ai,i+1)={(Hnn(Ai,i+1)),n=1,2,…,N;(Ω,βΩ(Ai,i+1))}
(l=1,2,…,L)
wherein:
d(Ai,i+1) Representing comparative neighboring evaluation scheme AiAnd Ai+1Comprehensive evaluation of all qualitative indicators, betan(Ai,i+1) And betaΩ(Ai,i+1) Respectively represent assignment to HnLevel and globally unknown confidence.
7. The product full-life-cycle-based high-end equipment evaluation system of claim 6, wherein the comprehensive evaluation of each quantitative index of the comparison between adjacent evaluation schemes is converted into an interval utility value of the comparison between schemes in combination with the utility of each evaluation level, comprising
Figure FDA0003474093390000061
Figure FDA0003474093390000062
Wherein, S (A)i,i+1)-And S (A)i,i+1)+Representing comparative neighboring evaluation scheme AiAnd Ai+1Comprehensively evaluating the lower limit and the upper limit of the interval utility value, and S (A)i,i+1)-=-S(Ai+1,i)+,S(Ai,i+1)+=-S(Ai+1,i)-
8. The product full lifecycle-based high-end equipment evaluation system of claim 7, wherein the converting the interval utility value to a preference likelihood comprises:
Figure FDA0003474093390000063
wherein p isi,i+1Representing comparative neighbor scheme AiAnd Ai+1Degree of preference of time, and pi,i+1∈[0,1];pi,i+10.5 denotes no preference, pi,i+1< 0.5 indicates that A is more preferablei+1,pi,i+1> 0.5 indicates a greater preference for Ai
Figure FDA0003474093390000064
Represents the interval [ S (A)i,i+1)-,S(Ai,i+1)+]And interval [ S (A) ]i+1,i)-,S(Ai+1,i)+]The length of the overlap.
9. The product full lifecycle-based high-end equipment evaluation system of claim 8, wherein computing a composite importance level and ranking the schema in full order based on preference likelihoods and link ratios comprises:
and then converting the preference possibility into an importance degree ratio value between adjacent contrast schemes, namely:
Figure FDA0003474093390000071
wherein: r isi,i+1Representing comparative neighboring evaluation scheme AiAnd Ai+1Ratio of importance of time, rmaxRepresenting the maximum ratio of importance between adjacent contrast schemes;
and sequentially calculating the comprehensive importance degree of each scheme according to the importance degree ratio value and the sequence direction of the scheme sequence numbers, namely:
Figure FDA0003474093390000072
wherein: ziRepresents scheme AiOf overall importance of, kiRepresents scheme AiAnd k is the total score value ofI=1;
And obtaining the full-order arrangement of the high-end equipment scheme based on the product full life cycle according to the comprehensive importance degree of the scheme.
10. A method for high-end equipment assessment based on a product full lifecycle, the method comprising:
acquiring a plurality of schemes to be evaluated and evaluation grades of high-end equipment and a multi-dimensional evaluation index system based on the full life cycle of the high-end equipment;
acquiring measurement data of each quantitative index at different stages in the whole life cycle based on a multi-dimensional evaluation index system;
acquiring a prediction interval of each quantitative index based on historical measurement values of the quantitative indexes in a plurality of schemes to be evaluated, which are acquired by a multi-dimensional evaluation index system;
converting the plurality of measured values of the quantitative indexes into an evaluation form of confidence distribution under a unified identification framework between adjacent schemes according to a conversion rule to obtain evaluation information of each quantitative index between the adjacent evaluation schemes;
fusing each quantitative index evaluation information to obtain each quantitative index comprehensive evaluation compared between adjacent evaluation schemes;
and comprehensively evaluating each quantitative index of the comparison between adjacent evaluation schemes by combining the utility of each evaluation grade to convert the quantitative index into an interval utility value of the comparison between the schemes, converting the interval utility value into preference possibility, calculating the comprehensive importance degree based on the preference possibility and the interlinkage ratio, and completely arranging the schemes.
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CN117705189A (en) * 2023-12-15 2024-03-15 平湖市旭东箱包有限公司 Full life cycle luggage aging performance evaluation method and system

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