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CN118690306A - Fault prediction method and system for regenerative thermal incinerator system based on digital twin - Google Patents

Fault prediction method and system for regenerative thermal incinerator system based on digital twin Download PDF

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CN118690306A
CN118690306A CN202411161476.3A CN202411161476A CN118690306A CN 118690306 A CN118690306 A CN 118690306A CN 202411161476 A CN202411161476 A CN 202411161476A CN 118690306 A CN118690306 A CN 118690306A
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CN118690306B (en
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王长历
郭世鹏
刘长征
王长亮
杜深龙
朱春占
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Yuehua Pengcheng Digital Technology Shandong Co ltd
Shandong Chaohua Environmental Protection Intelligent Equipment Co ltd
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Abstract

The invention discloses a digital twin-based heat accumulating type thermal incinerator system fault prediction method and system, which relate to the technical field of intelligent fault prediction, solve the technical problems that single sensor data monitoring and parameter adjustment cannot realize the positioning of an abnormal cause and simultaneously cannot predict danger caused by the abnormal parameter, the real-time parameters are substituted into the model to be analyzed to obtain the whole working state of the incinerator, and the abnormal working state is analyzed according to the corresponding abnormal data, and the records of the same situation in the historical data are integrated in the analysis process to perform systematic analysis.

Description

基于数字孪生的蓄热式热力焚烧炉系统故障预测方法及系统Fault prediction method and system for regenerative thermal incinerator system based on digital twin

技术领域Technical Field

本发明涉及智能故障预测技术领域,具体为基于数字孪生的蓄热式热力焚烧炉系统故障预测方法及系统。The present invention relates to the technical field of intelligent fault prediction, and specifically to a fault prediction method and system for a regenerative thermal incinerator system based on digital twins.

背景技术Background Art

焚烧炉系统是处理各类废弃物,如垃圾、化学废料等的重要设备。在其运行过程中,由于操作参数、环境条件、设备状态等多种因素的影响,可能会出现各种故障。这些故障不仅影响了焚烧炉系统的正常运行和效率,还可能对环境和人员安全构成威胁。Incinerator systems are important equipment for treating various types of waste, such as garbage, chemical waste, etc. During its operation, various faults may occur due to the influence of various factors such as operating parameters, environmental conditions, equipment status, etc. These faults not only affect the normal operation and efficiency of the incinerator system, but may also pose a threat to the environment and personnel safety.

根据中国专利申请号为CN202311741959.6公开了一种基于人工智能的焚烧炉系统故障预测方法及系统,将焚烧炉系统的初始化运行焚烧控制实例作为基础焚烧控制实例,通过故障检测网络对其涵盖的故障路径矢量进行检测,并以此生成对应的实例聚类属性和焚烧异常类别,可以有效地模拟特定焚烧控制实例对焚烧控制实例的影响,并预测可能出现的异常情况。进一步地,通过执行仿真流程以虚拟化运行对每个故障路径矢量的参数应用指令,能够更深入地理解各种操作指令如何影响焚烧过程。最后,通过构建知识成员和知识链路,并生成焚烧故障知识图谱,实现了对焚烧炉系统中各种可能故障的全面、深入地理解和分析。According to Chinese patent application number CN202311741959.6, an artificial intelligence-based incinerator system fault prediction method and system are disclosed. The initial operation incineration control instance of the incinerator system is used as the basic incineration control instance. The fault path vectors covered by it are detected through the fault detection network, and the corresponding instance clustering attributes and incineration abnormality categories are generated. The impact of a specific incineration control instance on the incineration control instance can be effectively simulated, and possible abnormal situations can be predicted. Furthermore, by executing the simulation process to virtually run the parameter application instructions for each fault path vector, a deeper understanding of how various operation instructions affect the incineration process can be achieved. Finally, by constructing knowledge members and knowledge links and generating an incineration fault knowledge graph, a comprehensive and in-depth understanding and analysis of various possible faults in the incinerator system is achieved.

部分现有的热力焚烧炉系统在使用的过程中,大多数是通过传感器来对焚烧过程中的参数进行获取,并对参数进行监测分析,针对存在异常的参数则进行调节,这样的调节方式不能综合焚烧炉整体的状态进行原因分析,单一的调节只能短暂地实现焚烧炉的状态正常,并没有实现对出现异常的原因进行分析,从而不方便后续出现相同情况时的调节和危险预测,严重情况下可能会对人员安全构成威胁。During the use of some existing thermal incinerator systems, most of them use sensors to obtain parameters during the incineration process, monitor and analyze the parameters, and adjust the parameters if there are abnormalities. This adjustment method cannot comprehensively analyze the causes of the overall state of the incinerator. A single adjustment can only temporarily normalize the state of the incinerator, and does not analyze the causes of the abnormalities, which makes it inconvenient for subsequent adjustments and danger predictions when the same situation occurs. In severe cases, it may pose a threat to personnel safety.

发明内容Summary of the invention

针对现有技术的不足,本发明提供了基于数字孪生的蓄热式热力焚烧炉系统故障预测方法及系统,解决了单一的传感器数据监测并进行参数调节不能实现对异常原因进行定位,同时不能对参数异常带来的危险进行预测的问题。In response to the shortcomings of the prior art, the present invention provides a fault prediction method and system for a regenerative thermal incinerator system based on digital twins, which solves the problem that single sensor data monitoring and parameter adjustment cannot locate the cause of the abnormality and cannot predict the danger caused by parameter abnormalities.

为实现以上目的,本发明通过以下技术方案予以实现:基于数字孪生的蓄热式热力焚烧炉系统故障预测方法,该方法具体包括以下步骤:To achieve the above objectives, the present invention is implemented through the following technical solutions: a method for predicting failures of a regenerative thermal incinerator system based on digital twins, the method specifically comprising the following steps:

步骤一:根据获取的历史数据进行数据分析得到正确数据和错误数据,同时基于正确数据建立数字孪生模型,并将实时参数代入模型得到分析结果,且分析结果包括:状态正常结果和状态异常结果;Step 1: Perform data analysis based on the acquired historical data to obtain correct data and incorrect data. At the same time, establish a digital twin model based on the correct data, and substitute real-time parameters into the model to obtain analysis results, and the analysis results include: normal status results and abnormal status results;

步骤二:对分析结果为异常状态结果进行分析,比较实时状态参数与标准参数的关系,将实时参数进行分类得到正常参数和异常参数,并分别对正常参数和异常参数进行分析;Step 2: Analyze the abnormal state results, compare the relationship between the real-time state parameters and the standard parameters, classify the real-time parameters into normal parameters and abnormal parameters, and analyze the normal parameters and abnormal parameters respectively;

步骤三:对分类得到的正常参数进行监测分析,并结合历史数据对正常参数进行周期性持续监测,根据正常参数的变化及对应的正常范围值进行综合分析生成正常信号和预警信号;Step 3: Monitor and analyze the normal parameters obtained through classification, and conduct periodic and continuous monitoring of the normal parameters in combination with historical data. Perform comprehensive analysis based on the changes in the normal parameters and the corresponding normal range values to generate normal signals and warning signals;

步骤四:对分类得到的异常参数进行分析,根据历史数据对异常参数存在的风险影响进行分析生成预警信号。Step 4: Analyze the abnormal parameters obtained by classification, and generate early warning signals based on the risk impact of the abnormal parameters based on historical data.

作为本发明的进一步方案:所述步骤一中将实时参数代入模型得到分析结果的具体方式为:As a further solution of the present invention: the specific method of substituting the real-time parameters into the model to obtain the analysis results in step 1 is:

获取热力焚烧炉对应的历史数据,并对历史数据中的正确数据和错误数据进行识别,同时对正确数据进行特征提取得到数据特征,接着根据数据特征建立热力焚烧炉的数字孪生模型;Obtain the historical data corresponding to the thermal incinerator, identify the correct data and incorrect data in the historical data, extract the features of the correct data to obtain the data features, and then establish the digital twin model of the thermal incinerator based on the data features;

接着获取热力焚烧炉当前的实时参数,并将实时参数代入数字孪生模型中,由数字孪生模型根据实时参数对热力焚烧炉状态进行分析生成分析结果,且分析结果包括正常状态结果和异常状态结果。Then, the current real-time parameters of the thermal incinerator are obtained and substituted into the digital twin model. The digital twin model analyzes the state of the thermal incinerator according to the real-time parameters to generate analysis results, and the analysis results include normal state results and abnormal state results.

作为本发明的进一步方案:所述步骤三中对正常参数进行监测分析的具体方式为:As a further solution of the present invention: the specific method of monitoring and analyzing the normal parameters in step 3 is:

对历史数据进行获取,同时获取历史数据中所有工作状态正常对应的工作参数记作比较参数,并根据比较参数生成对应的正常区间,接着以时间t为周期对正常参数进行监测,对时间周期t内正常参数的变化情况进行获取,同时将变化情况进行分类得到稳定变化和不稳定变化。The historical data is acquired, and the working parameters corresponding to all normal working states in the historical data are obtained as comparison parameters, and the corresponding normal intervals are generated according to the comparison parameters. Then, the normal parameters are monitored with time t as a period, and the changes of the normal parameters within the time period t are acquired. At the same time, the changes are classified into stable changes and unstable changes.

作为本发明的进一步方案:步骤三中对稳定变化和不稳定变化情况进行分析的具体方式为:As a further solution of the present invention: the specific method of analyzing the stable change and the unstable change in step 3 is:

对变化情况为稳定变化进行分析,获取相邻时间周期t对应的正常参数,并将两个时间周期对应的正常参数进行比较,若相邻时间周期t内的正常参数未发生变化,则表示热力焚烧炉整体状态正常,并生成正常信号,反之若相邻时间周期t内的正常参数发生变化,则将相邻时间周期t的正常参数与正常区间进行比较,若正常参数属于正常区间,则表示热力焚烧炉正常状态正常,并生成正常信号,反之若正常参数不属于正常区间,则表示热力焚烧炉正常状态异常,并生成预警信号;Analyze the stable changes, obtain the normal parameters corresponding to the adjacent time periods t, and compare the normal parameters corresponding to the two time periods. If the normal parameters in the adjacent time period t do not change, it means that the overall state of the thermal incinerator is normal, and a normal signal is generated. On the contrary, if the normal parameters in the adjacent time period t change, compare the normal parameters of the adjacent time period t with the normal interval. If the normal parameters belong to the normal interval, it means that the normal state of the thermal incinerator is normal, and a normal signal is generated. On the contrary, if the normal parameters do not belong to the normal interval, it means that the normal state of the thermal incinerator is abnormal, and an early warning signal is generated.

对变化情况为不稳定变化进行分析,将相邻时间周期y的正常参数与正常区间进行比较,若正常参数属于正常区间,则生成二次分析信号,反之若正常参数不属于正常区间,则表示热力焚烧炉正常状态异常,并生成预警信号,并对生成的二次分析信号进行处理。The unstable changes are analyzed, and the normal parameters of the adjacent time period y are compared with the normal interval. If the normal parameters belong to the normal interval, a secondary analysis signal is generated. Otherwise, if the normal parameters do not belong to the normal interval, it means that the normal state of the thermal incinerator is abnormal, and an early warning signal is generated, and the generated secondary analysis signal is processed.

作为本发明的进一步方案:步骤三中对生成的二次分析信号进行处理的具体方式为:As a further solution of the present invention: the specific method of processing the generated secondary analysis signal in step 3 is:

对历史数据中对应的相同记录进行获取,并对相同记录中存在风险情况的记录数量进行获取,同时计算对应的风险记录占比,接着将风险记录占比与预设值进行比较,若风险记录占比大于预设值,则生成预警信号,反之若风险记录占比小于预设值,则生成正常信号。The corresponding identical records in the historical data are obtained, and the number of records with risk situations in the same records is obtained, and the corresponding risk record ratio is calculated. Then the risk record ratio is compared with the preset value. If the risk record ratio is greater than the preset value, a warning signal is generated. Otherwise, if the risk record ratio is less than the preset value, a normal signal is generated.

作为本发明的进一步方案:所述步骤四中对异常参数进行分析的具体方式为:As a further solution of the present invention: the specific method of analyzing the abnormal parameters in step 4 is:

获取历史数据,并对历史数据中与异常参数相同情况的历史记录进行获取,同时判断历史记录是否存在风险记录,若存在风险记录,则将对应的风险记录进行获取,并获取对应的无风险记录;Obtain historical data, and obtain historical records of the same situation as the abnormal parameters in the historical data, and determine whether there are risk records in the historical records. If there are risk records, obtain the corresponding risk records and obtain the corresponding risk-free records;

接着对所有的风险记录进行分析,并对风险记录的种类进行识别,若风险记录的种类只存在一种类型,则以对应的风险记录生成预警信号,若风险记录的种类存在多种类型,则按照风险种类对风险记录进行分类并标号为i,且i=1、2、…、j,其中j表示风险种类数量,接着对不同风险种类对应的风险记录数量进行获取记作Li,并对同类型风险种类的风险特征进行提取,同时获取异常参数对应的异常特征,并将异常特征与风险特征进行匹配对风险记录进行筛选得到预选记录;Then, all risk records are analyzed and the types of risk records are identified. If there is only one type of risk record, a warning signal is generated with the corresponding risk record. If there are multiple types of risk records, the risk records are classified according to the risk type and labeled as i, and i=1, 2, ..., j, where j represents the number of risk types. Then, the number of risk records corresponding to different risk types is obtained and recorded as Li, and the risk features of the same type of risk types are extracted. At the same time, the abnormal features corresponding to the abnormal parameters are obtained, and the abnormal features are matched with the risk features to screen the risk records to obtain pre-selected records;

接着获取无风险记录,并对无风险记录中的参数特征进行提取,同时将无风险记录的参数特征与预选记录的风险特征进行匹配得到具体风险信息,接着生成预警信号。Then, risk-free records are obtained, and parameter features in the risk-free records are extracted. At the same time, the parameter features of the risk-free records are matched with the risk features of the pre-selected records to obtain specific risk information, and then an early warning signal is generated.

作为本发明的进一步方案:基于数字孪生的蓄热式热力焚烧炉系统故障预测系统,包括:数据采集模块、模型建立分析模块,异常状态分析模块、预警分析模块和预测信息输出模块;As a further solution of the present invention: a regenerative thermal incinerator system fault prediction system based on digital twins, comprising: a data acquisition module, a model building and analysis module, an abnormal state analysis module, an early warning analysis module and a prediction information output module;

数据采集模块,该模块用于将历史数据和实时参数进行获取,并将二者传输到模型建立分析模块;Data acquisition module, which is used to acquire historical data and real-time parameters and transmit them to the model building and analysis module;

模型建立分析模块,该模块用于根据历史数据并结合人工智能算法建立数字孪生模型,同时将实时参数代入数字孪生模型得到正常状态结果和异常状态结果,将异常状态结果传输到异常状态分析模块;Model building and analysis module, which is used to build a digital twin model based on historical data and combined with artificial intelligence algorithms, and substitute real-time parameters into the digital twin model to obtain normal state results and abnormal state results, and transmit the abnormal state results to the abnormal state analysis module;

异常状态分析模块,该模块用于对异常状态结果进行分析,并将实时状态参数与标准参数比较分类得到正常参数和异常参数,并将异常参数传输到预警分析模块,针对正常参数,并结合历史数据对正常参数进行周期性持续监测,根据正常参数的变化及对应的正常范围值进行综合分析生成正常信号和预警信号,同时将生成的正常信号和预警信号传输到预测信息输出模块;Abnormal state analysis module, which is used to analyze the abnormal state results, and compare the real-time state parameters with the standard parameters to obtain normal parameters and abnormal parameters, and transmit the abnormal parameters to the early warning analysis module, for the normal parameters, and in combination with the historical data, the normal parameters are periodically and continuously monitored, and the normal signals and early warning signals are generated according to the changes of the normal parameters and the corresponding normal range values. At the same time, the generated normal signals and early warning signals are transmitted to the prediction information output module;

预警分析模块,该模块用于对获取的异常参数进行分析,根据历史数据对异常参数存在的风险影响进行分析生成预警信号,同时将生成的预警信号传输到预测信息输出模块;The early warning analysis module is used to analyze the acquired abnormal parameters, analyze the risk impact of the abnormal parameters based on historical data, generate early warning signals, and transmit the generated early warning signals to the prediction information output module;

预测信息输出模块,该模块用于将获取的预警信号、正常状态结果和正常信号显示给对应的操作人员。The prediction information output module is used to display the acquired warning signals, normal status results and normal signals to the corresponding operators.

本发明提供了基于数字孪生的蓄热式热力焚烧炉系统故障预测方法及系统。与现有技术相比具备以下有益效果:The present invention provides a method and system for predicting failures of a regenerative thermal incinerator system based on digital twins. Compared with the prior art, it has the following beneficial effects:

本发明通过根据历史数据中的正确数据,并利用数字孪生技术和人工智能识别技术来建立对应的数字孪生模型,通过将实时参数代入模型中分析得到焚烧炉整体的工作状态,且针对异常工作状态,则根据对应的异常数据来进行分析,在分析的过程中综合历史数据中相同情况的记录进行系统的分析,一方面能够提高分析的精准度,另一方面能够实现对异常数据对应的具体原因的定位功能,从而及时地发现故障原因,同时能够从异常数据的变化来对整体的故障情况进行预测。The present invention establishes a corresponding digital twin model based on the correct data in the historical data and utilizes the digital twin technology and artificial intelligence recognition technology. The overall working status of the incinerator is obtained by substituting the real-time parameters into the model for analysis. For the abnormal working status, analysis is performed based on the corresponding abnormal data. In the process of analysis, the records of the same situation in the historical data are comprehensively analyzed for a systematic analysis. On the one hand, the accuracy of the analysis can be improved. On the other hand, the function of locating the specific cause corresponding to the abnormal data can be realized, thereby timely discovering the cause of the fault. At the same time, the overall fault situation can be predicted from the changes in the abnormal data.

附图说明BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS

图1为本发明方法图;Fig. 1 is a diagram of the method of the present invention;

图2为本发明系统框图。FIG. 2 is a system block diagram of the present invention.

具体实施方式DETAILED DESCRIPTION

下面将结合本发明实施例中的附图,对本发明实施例中的技术方案进行清楚、完整的描述,显然,所描述的实施例仅仅是本发明一部分实施例,而不是全部的实施例。基于本发明中的实施例,本领域普通技术人员在没有做出创造性劳动前提下所获得的所有其他实施例,都属于本发明保护的范围。The following will be combined with the drawings in the embodiments of the present invention to clearly and completely describe the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention. Obviously, the described embodiments are only part of the embodiments of the present invention, not all of the embodiments. Based on the embodiments of the present invention, all other embodiments obtained by ordinary technicians in this field without creative work are within the scope of protection of the present invention.

实施例一,请参阅图1,本申请提供了基于数字孪生的蓄热式热力焚烧炉系统故障预测方法,该方法具体包括以下步骤:Embodiment 1, please refer to FIG1 , the present application provides a method for predicting a failure of a regenerative thermal incinerator system based on digital twins, the method specifically comprising the following steps:

步骤一:根据获取的历史数据进行数据分析得到正确数据和错误数据,同时基于正确数据建立数字孪生模型,并将实时参数代入模型得到分析结果,且分析结果包括:状态正常结果和状态异常结果,且具体的分析方式如下:Step 1: Perform data analysis based on the historical data obtained to obtain correct data and incorrect data. At the same time, establish a digital twin model based on the correct data, and substitute real-time parameters into the model to obtain analysis results. The analysis results include: normal status results and abnormal status results. The specific analysis method is as follows:

获取热力焚烧炉对应的历史数据,且此处获取的历史数据表示为在过去时间T内所有的使用记录,并对历史数据中的正确数据和错误数据进行识别,同时对正确数据进行特征提取得到数据特征,且对数据特征的提取通过对应的人工智能算法进行识别和提取,接着根据数据特征建立热力焚烧炉的数字孪生模型,具体地建立数字孪生模型的过程为现有技术,在此不做过多的赘述。The historical data corresponding to the thermal incinerator is obtained, and the historical data obtained here represents all usage records within the past time T, and the correct data and the incorrect data in the historical data are identified, and the correct data is extracted to obtain data features, and the data features are identified and extracted through the corresponding artificial intelligence algorithm, and then a digital twin model of the thermal incinerator is established according to the data features. The specific process of establishing the digital twin model is the existing technology and will not be elaborated on here.

例如,假设在过去6个月的运行记录中,收集了热力焚烧炉的温度、压力、燃料消耗量和排放数据。通过数据分析发现了一些异常值,比如某日的压力读数异常高,这可能是由于传感器故障造成的错误数据。在排除这些错误数据后,对剩余的正确数据进行特征提取,发现炉温与燃料消耗量之间存在明显的正相关关系,而压力则对排放水平有较大影响,基于这些数据特征,建立一个数字孪生模型,该模型能够模拟热力焚烧炉在不同操作条件下的行为,预测其性能和维护需求。For example, suppose that the temperature, pressure, fuel consumption, and emission data of a thermal incinerator were collected in the operating records of the past 6 months. Some outliers were found through data analysis, such as an abnormally high pressure reading on a certain day, which may be erroneous data caused by sensor failure. After excluding these erroneous data, feature extraction was performed on the remaining correct data, and it was found that there was an obvious positive correlation between furnace temperature and fuel consumption, while pressure had a greater impact on emission levels. Based on these data features, a digital twin model was established that can simulate the behavior of the thermal incinerator under different operating conditions and predict its performance and maintenance needs.

接着获取热力焚烧炉当前的实时参数,且此处的实时参数包括温度、压力、燃烧消耗量和排放量等,并将实时参数代入数字孪生模型中,由数字孪生模型根据实时参数对热力焚烧炉状态进行分析生成分析结果,且分析结果包括正常状态结果和异常状态结果。Then, the current real-time parameters of the thermal incinerator are obtained, and the real-time parameters here include temperature, pressure, combustion consumption and emissions, etc., and the real-time parameters are substituted into the digital twin model. The digital twin model analyzes the state of the thermal incinerator according to the real-time parameters to generate analysis results, and the analysis results include normal state results and abnormal state results.

数字孪生模型是一个高级的动态仿真模型,它能够根据实时数据精准地模拟热力焚烧炉的运行状态。模型会处理这些实时参数,并通过复杂的计算和模式识别技术预测焚烧炉的行为。根据分析的结果,模型可以判定焚烧炉是处于正常状态或是存在潜在的异常情况。The digital twin model is an advanced dynamic simulation model that can accurately simulate the operating status of a thermal incinerator based on real-time data. The model processes these real-time parameters and predicts the behavior of the incinerator through complex calculations and pattern recognition techniques. Based on the results of the analysis, the model can determine whether the incinerator is in a normal state or has potential abnormal conditions.

步骤二:对分析结果为异常状态结果进行分析,比较实时状态参数与标准参数的关系,将实时参数进行分类得到正常参数和异常参数,并分别对正常参数和异常参数进行分析;具体的此处的标准参数表示为正常情况下热力焚烧炉对应的正常工作参数,这一标准参数代表了热力焚烧炉在正常工作条件下的各项指标,如理想的温度范围、压力值、燃料消耗速率和排放水平等。Step 2: Analyze the abnormal state results, compare the relationship between the real-time state parameters and the standard parameters, classify the real-time parameters into normal parameters and abnormal parameters, and analyze the normal parameters and abnormal parameters respectively; the standard parameters here are specifically represented by the normal working parameters corresponding to the thermal incinerator under normal circumstances. This standard parameter represents the various indicators of the thermal incinerator under normal working conditions, such as the ideal temperature range, pressure value, fuel consumption rate and emission level.

在分析过程中,实时参数将根据其是否偏离标准参数进行分类,分为正常参数和异常参数。正常参数是指那些在预设的正常工作范围内的参数,而异常参数则是超出这些范围的指标。通过这种分类,可以更清晰地识别问题所在,以及哪些系统部件可能处于非理想状态。During the analysis, real-time parameters are classified into normal parameters and abnormal parameters according to whether they deviate from standard parameters. Normal parameters are those that are within the preset normal working range, while abnormal parameters are indicators that are outside these ranges. This classification can more clearly identify where the problem lies and which system components may be in a non-ideal state.

步骤三:对分类得到的正常参数进行监测分析,并结合历史数据对正常参数进行周期性持续监测,根据正常参数的变化及对应的正常范围值进行综合分析生成正常信号和预警信号,且具体的分析方式为:Step 3: Monitor and analyze the normal parameters obtained through classification, and conduct periodic and continuous monitoring of the normal parameters in combination with historical data. Perform comprehensive analysis based on the changes in the normal parameters and the corresponding normal range values to generate normal signals and warning signals. The specific analysis method is as follows:

对历史数据进行获取,同时获取历史数据中所有工作状态正常对应的工作参数记作比较参数,并根据比较参数生成对应的正常区间,且此处的正常区间是根据比较参数进行组合得到,具体的通过获取比较参数的最小值和最大值进行组合得到对应的正常区间,接着以时间t为周期对正常参数进行监测,对时间周期t内正常参数的变化情况进行获取,同时将变化情况进行分类得到稳定变化和不稳定变化,且此处具体的分类方式是通过计算时间周期t内t1时间对应的正常参数变化值,并将计算得到的变化值与阈值进行比较,且阈值为范围值,具体数值由操作人员设定,若正常参数变化值在阈值范围内,则表示为稳定变化,反之若正常参数变化值不在阈值范围内,则表示为不稳定变化;The historical data is acquired, and the working parameters corresponding to all normal working states in the historical data are acquired and recorded as comparison parameters, and the corresponding normal interval is generated according to the comparison parameters, and the normal interval here is obtained by combining the comparison parameters, specifically, the corresponding normal interval is obtained by acquiring the minimum value and the maximum value of the comparison parameters, and then the normal parameters are monitored with time t as a period, and the change of the normal parameters within the time period t is acquired, and the change is classified into stable change and unstable change, and the specific classification method here is to calculate the normal parameter change value corresponding to the time t1 within the time period t, and compare the calculated change value with the threshold, and the threshold is a range value, and the specific value is set by the operator, if the normal parameter change value is within the threshold range, it is represented as a stable change, and conversely, if the normal parameter change value is not within the threshold range, it is represented as an unstable change;

对变化情况为稳定变化进行分析,获取相邻时间周期t对应的正常参数,并将两个时间周期对应的正常参数进行比较,且此处的比较为互相比较,若相邻时间周期t内的正常参数未发生变化,同时未发生变化表示二者的差值在允许的范围内,则表示热力焚烧炉整体状态正常,并生成正常信号,反之若相邻时间周期t内的正常参数发生变化,同时发生变化表示二者的差值不在允许的范围内,则将相邻时间周期t的正常参数与正常区间进行比较,且此处与正常区间比较的正常参数为后一个时间周期t内的正常参数,若正常参数属于正常区间,则表示热力焚烧炉正常状态正常,并生成正常信号,反之若正常参数不属于正常区间,则表示热力焚烧炉正常状态异常,并生成预警信号;Analyze the stable changes, obtain the normal parameters corresponding to the adjacent time periods t, and compare the normal parameters corresponding to the two time periods, and the comparison here is mutual comparison. If the normal parameters in the adjacent time periods t do not change, and the lack of change indicates that the difference between the two is within the allowable range, it means that the overall state of the thermal incinerator is normal, and a normal signal is generated. On the contrary, if the normal parameters in the adjacent time periods t change, and the change indicates that the difference between the two is not within the allowable range, then the normal parameters of the adjacent time periods t are compared with the normal interval, and the normal parameters compared with the normal interval here are the normal parameters in the next time period t. If the normal parameters belong to the normal interval, it means that the normal state of the thermal incinerator is normal, and a normal signal is generated. On the contrary, if the normal parameters do not belong to the normal interval, it means that the normal state of the thermal incinerator is abnormal, and an early warning signal is generated.

对变化情况为不稳定变化进行分析,将相邻时间周期y的正常参数与正常区间进行比较,若正常参数属于正常区间,则生成二次分析信号,反之若正常参数不属于正常区间,则表示热力焚烧炉正常状态异常,并生成预警信号,并对生成的二次分析信号进行处理,且具体的处理方式为:Analyze the unstable changes, compare the normal parameters of the adjacent time period y with the normal interval, if the normal parameters belong to the normal interval, generate a secondary analysis signal, otherwise if the normal parameters do not belong to the normal interval, it means that the normal state of the thermal incinerator is abnormal, and generate an early warning signal, and process the generated secondary analysis signal, and the specific processing method is:

对历史数据中对应的相同记录进行获取,且此处的相同记录表示为正常参数同样为不稳定变化的记录,并对相同记录中存在风险情况的记录数量进行获取,同时计算对应的风险记录占比,接着将风险记录占比与预设值进行比较,若风险记录占比大于预设值,则表示当前不稳定变化存在风险,并生成预警信号,反之若风险记录占比小于预设值,则生成正常信号。且预设值的具体数值由操作人员根据实际情况进行拟定。The corresponding identical records in the historical data are obtained, and the identical records here represent the records with normal parameters and unstable changes, and the number of records with risk conditions in the same records is obtained, and the corresponding risk record ratio is calculated, and then the risk record ratio is compared with the preset value. If the risk record ratio is greater than the preset value, it means that the current unstable change has risks, and a warning signal is generated. On the contrary, if the risk record ratio is less than the preset value, a normal signal is generated. The specific value of the preset value is formulated by the operator according to the actual situation.

步骤四:对分类得到的异常参数进行分析,根据历史数据对异常参数存在的风险影响进行分析生成预警信号,且具体的分析方式为:Step 4: Analyze the abnormal parameters obtained by classification, analyze the risk impact of the abnormal parameters based on historical data, and generate early warning signals. The specific analysis method is:

获取历史数据,并对历史数据中与异常参数相同情况的历史记录进行获取,同时判断历史记录是否存在风险记录,若存在风险记录,则将对应的风险记录进行获取,并获取对应的无风险记录;具体的此处是对相同情况历史记录进行分类得到风险记录和无风险记录。Obtain historical data, and obtain historical records of the same situation as the abnormal parameters in the historical data, and determine whether there are risk records in the historical records. If there are risk records, obtain the corresponding risk records and obtain the corresponding risk-free records; specifically, here the historical records of the same situation are classified to obtain risk records and risk-free records.

接着对所有的风险记录进行分析,并对风险记录的种类进行识别,若风险记录的种类只存在一种类型,则以对应的风险记录生成预警信号,若风险记录的种类存在多种类型,则按照风险种类对风险记录进行分类并标号为i,且i=1、2、…、j,其中j表示风险种类数量,接着对不同风险种类对应的风险记录数量进行获取记作Li,并对同类型风险种类的风险特征进行提取,且此处的风险特征表示为对应的参数特征,同时获取异常参数对应的异常特征,并将异常特征与风险特征进行匹配对风险记录进行筛选得到预选记录;Then, all risk records are analyzed and the types of risk records are identified. If there is only one type of risk record, a warning signal is generated with the corresponding risk record. If there are multiple types of risk records, the risk records are classified according to the risk type and labeled as i, and i=1, 2, ..., j, where j represents the number of risk types. Then, the number of risk records corresponding to different risk types is obtained and recorded as Li, and the risk features of the same type of risk types are extracted, and the risk features here are represented as corresponding parameter features. At the same time, the abnormal features corresponding to the abnormal parameters are obtained, and the abnormal features are matched with the risk features to screen the risk records to obtain pre-selected records;

接着获取无风险记录,并对无风险记录中的参数特征进行提取,同时将无风险记录的参数特征与预选记录的风险特征进行匹配得到具体风险信息,接着生成预警信号。具体的,比如无风险记录对应的参数特征为温度,而预选记录中的一组预选记录对应的风险特征包括温度和压力,进一步地表示温度为非风险的必要因素,因此将该组预选记录中的温度进行剔除分析,并只对压力进行分析,再结合异常参数的具体情况来进行匹配分析,从而来确定具体风险信息,如果异常参数与该组的压力匹配,则将该组预选记录作为具体风险信息,并生成预警信号。Then, the risk-free records are obtained, and the parameter features in the risk-free records are extracted. At the same time, the parameter features of the risk-free records are matched with the risk features of the pre-selected records to obtain specific risk information, and then a warning signal is generated. Specifically, for example, the parameter feature corresponding to the risk-free record is temperature, and the risk features corresponding to a group of pre-selected records in the pre-selected records include temperature and pressure, which further indicates that temperature is a non-necessary factor for risk. Therefore, the temperature in the group of pre-selected records is eliminated and analyzed, and only the pressure is analyzed, and then the matching analysis is combined with the specific situation of the abnormal parameters to determine the specific risk information. If the abnormal parameter matches the pressure of the group, the group of pre-selected records is used as specific risk information and a warning signal is generated.

实施例二,请参阅图2,基于数字孪生的蓄热式热力焚烧炉系统故障预测系统,包括:数据采集模块、模型建立分析模块,异常状态分析模块、预警分析模块和预测信息输出模块;Embodiment 2, please refer to FIG2 , a regenerative thermal incinerator system fault prediction system based on digital twin, including: a data acquisition module, a model establishment and analysis module, an abnormal state analysis module, a warning analysis module and a prediction information output module;

数据采集模块,该模块用于将历史数据和实时参数进行获取,并将二者传输到模型建立分析模块;Data acquisition module, which is used to acquire historical data and real-time parameters and transmit them to the model building and analysis module;

模型建立分析模块,该模块用于根据历史数据并结合人工智能算法建立数字孪生模型,同时将实时参数代入数字孪生模型得到正常状态结果和异常状态结果,将异常状态结果传输到异常状态分析模块,且得到正常状态结果和异常状态结果的具体方式同理实施例一中步骤一的处理方式;A model building and analysis module, which is used to build a digital twin model based on historical data and in combination with an artificial intelligence algorithm, and substitute real-time parameters into the digital twin model to obtain normal state results and abnormal state results, and transmit the abnormal state results to the abnormal state analysis module. The specific method of obtaining the normal state results and the abnormal state results is similar to the processing method of step 1 in embodiment 1;

异常状态分析模块,该模块用于对异常状态结果进行分析,并将实时状态参数与标准参数比较分类得到正常参数和异常参数,并将异常参数传输到预警分析模块,针对正常参数,并结合历史数据对正常参数进行周期性持续监测,根据正常参数的变化及对应的正常范围值进行综合分析生成正常信号和预警信号,同时将生成的正常信号和预警信号传输到预测信息输出模块,且具体的处理方式同理实施例一中步骤三的分析方式;An abnormal state analysis module is used to analyze the abnormal state results, and compare the real-time state parameters with the standard parameters to obtain normal parameters and abnormal parameters, and transmit the abnormal parameters to the early warning analysis module. For normal parameters, the normal parameters are periodically and continuously monitored in combination with historical data, and a normal signal and an early warning signal are generated according to a comprehensive analysis of the changes in the normal parameters and the corresponding normal range values. The generated normal signal and early warning signal are transmitted to the prediction information output module at the same time, and the specific processing method is the same as the analysis method of step three in embodiment one;

预警分析模块,该模块用于对获取的异常参数进行分析,根据历史数据对异常参数存在的风险影响进行分析生成预警信号,同时将生成的预警信号传输到预测信息输出模块,且具体的处理方式同理实施例一中步骤四的分析方式;An early warning analysis module is used to analyze the acquired abnormal parameters, analyze the risk impact of the abnormal parameters based on historical data to generate an early warning signal, and transmit the generated early warning signal to the prediction information output module. The specific processing method is the same as the analysis method of step 4 in embodiment 1;

预测信息输出模块,该模块用于将获取的预警信号、正常状态结果和正常信号显示给对应的操作人员。The prediction information output module is used to display the acquired warning signals, normal status results and normal signals to the corresponding operators.

同时本说明书中未作详细描述的内容均属于本领域技术人员公知的现有技术。Meanwhile, the contents not described in detail in this specification belong to the prior art known to those skilled in the art.

以上实施例仅用以说明本发明的技术方法而非限制,尽管参照较佳实施例对本发明进行了详细说明,本领域的普通技术人员应当理解,可以对本发明的技术方法进行修改或等同替换,而不脱离本发明技术方法的精神和范围。The above embodiments are only used to illustrate the technical method of the present invention rather than to limit it. Although the present invention has been described in detail with reference to the preferred embodiments, those skilled in the art should understand that the technical method of the present invention may be modified or replaced by equivalents without departing from the spirit and scope of the technical method of the present invention.

Claims (7)

1. The digital twin-based heat accumulating type thermal incinerator system fault prediction method is characterized by comprising the following steps of:
Step one: performing data analysis according to the acquired historical data to obtain correct data and error data, simultaneously establishing a digital twin model based on the correct data, substituting real-time parameters into the model to obtain an analysis result, wherein the analysis result comprises: a state normal result and a state abnormal result;
Step two: analyzing the abnormal state result as an analysis result, comparing the relation between the real-time state parameter and the standard parameter, classifying the real-time parameter to obtain a normal parameter and an abnormal parameter, and analyzing the normal parameter and the abnormal parameter respectively;
Step three: monitoring and analyzing the classified normal parameters, and carrying out periodic continuous monitoring on the normal parameters by combining historical data, and comprehensively analyzing according to the change of the normal parameters and the corresponding normal range values to generate a normal signal and an early warning signal;
step four: and analyzing the classified abnormal parameters, and analyzing risk influence of the abnormal parameters according to the historical data to generate an early warning signal.
2. The digital twin based heat accumulating type thermal incinerator system fault prediction method according to claim 1, wherein the specific way of substituting the real-time parameters into the model to obtain the analysis result in the first step is as follows:
Acquiring historical data corresponding to the thermal incinerator, identifying correct data and error data in the historical data, extracting features of the correct data to obtain data features, and then establishing a digital twin model of the thermal incinerator according to the data features;
and then acquiring the current real-time parameters of the thermal incinerator, substituting the real-time parameters into a digital twin model, and analyzing the state of the thermal incinerator by the digital twin model according to the real-time parameters to generate an analysis result, wherein the analysis result comprises a normal state result and an abnormal state result.
3. The digital twin based heat accumulating type thermal incinerator system fault prediction method according to claim 1, wherein the specific mode of monitoring and analyzing the normal parameters in the third step is as follows:
And acquiring the historical data, recording the working parameters which are normally corresponding to all working states in the historical data as comparison parameters, generating a corresponding normal interval according to the comparison parameters, monitoring the normal parameters by taking the time t as a period, acquiring the change condition of the normal parameters in the time t, and classifying the change condition to obtain stable change and unstable change.
4. The digital twin based heat accumulating type thermal incinerator system fault prediction method according to claim 3, wherein the specific way of analyzing the stable change and the unstable change in the third step is as follows:
Analyzing the change condition as stable change, acquiring normal parameters corresponding to adjacent time periods t, comparing the normal parameters corresponding to the two time periods, generating a normal signal if the normal parameters in the adjacent time periods t are unchanged, otherwise comparing the normal parameters in the adjacent time periods t with a normal interval if the normal parameters in the adjacent time periods t are changed, generating a normal signal if the normal parameters belong to the normal interval, otherwise generating an early warning signal if the normal parameters do not belong to the normal interval;
And (3) analyzing the unstable change of the change condition, comparing the normal parameter of the adjacent time period y with the normal interval, generating a secondary analysis signal if the normal parameter belongs to the normal interval, otherwise, generating an early warning signal if the normal parameter does not belong to the normal interval, and processing the generated secondary analysis signal.
5. The digital twin based regenerative thermal incinerator system fault prediction method as claimed in claim 4, wherein the specific way of processing the generated secondary analysis signal in the third step is as follows:
And acquiring the corresponding same records in the historical data, acquiring the number of records with risk conditions in the same records, simultaneously calculating the corresponding risk record duty ratio, comparing the risk record duty ratio with a preset value, generating an early warning signal if the risk record duty ratio is larger than the preset value, and otherwise, generating a normal signal if the risk record duty ratio is smaller than the preset value.
6. The digital twin based heat accumulating type thermal incinerator system fault prediction method according to claim 1, wherein the specific way of analyzing the abnormal parameters in the fourth step is as follows:
Acquiring historical data, acquiring a historical record of the same condition as the abnormal parameter in the historical data, judging whether the historical record has a risk record or not, acquiring a corresponding risk record if the risk record exists, and acquiring a corresponding risk-free record;
Analyzing all risk records, identifying the types of the risk records, generating an early warning signal by using the corresponding risk records if the types of the risk records are of one type, classifying the risk records according to the types of the risk records and marking the risk records as i according to the types of the risk records, wherein i=1, 2, … and j, j represents the number of the risk types, acquiring and marking the number of the risk records corresponding to different risk types as Li, extracting the risk characteristics of the risk types of the same type, acquiring the abnormal characteristics corresponding to the abnormal parameters, matching the abnormal characteristics with the risk characteristics, and screening the risk records to obtain a preselected record;
And then acquiring a risk-free record, extracting parameter characteristics in the risk-free record, simultaneously matching the parameter characteristics of the risk-free record with the risk characteristics of a preselected record to obtain specific risk information, and then generating an early warning signal.
7. A digital twin based regenerative thermal incinerator system fault prediction system for performing the digital twin based regenerative thermal incinerator system fault prediction method of any of claims 1 to 6, comprising: the system comprises a data acquisition module, a model building analysis module, an abnormal state analysis module, an early warning analysis module and a prediction information output module;
The data acquisition module is used for acquiring historical data and real-time parameters and transmitting the historical data and the real-time parameters to the model building analysis module;
The model building analysis module is used for building a digital twin model according to historical data and combining an artificial intelligent algorithm, substituting real-time parameters into the digital twin model to obtain a normal state result and an abnormal state result, and transmitting the abnormal state result to the abnormal state analysis module;
The abnormal state analysis module is used for analyzing an abnormal state result, comparing and classifying the real-time state parameter with the standard parameter to obtain a normal parameter and an abnormal parameter, transmitting the abnormal parameter to the early warning analysis module, carrying out periodic continuous monitoring on the normal parameter aiming at the normal parameter by combining with the historical data, carrying out comprehensive analysis according to the change of the normal parameter and the corresponding normal range value to generate a normal signal and an early warning signal, and transmitting the generated normal signal and the early warning signal to the prediction information output module;
The early warning analysis module is used for analyzing the acquired abnormal parameters, analyzing risk influence of the abnormal parameters according to historical data to generate early warning signals, and transmitting the generated early warning signals to the prediction information output module;
And the prediction information output module is used for displaying the acquired early warning signals, the normal state results and the normal signals to corresponding operators.
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